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Blind Box

Maybe

An estimated 0.5% of orders come back. But buyers convert on only 1.1% of searches, so Blind Box is a Maybe.

Flapen Score
58
58 / 100
Top 11% of 1,773 Toys & Games niches · +14 vs the category median of 44
Market size
£131K/yr1.1M searches / yr
90-day growth
-10.4%search demand this quarter
Competition
21%top-5 click share · 42 brands · 132 sellers

Flapen Score

Blind Box against its category

The dotted line is the Toys & Games average. Past it, Blind Box is stronger. Inside it, weaker.

58Maybe
Big MarketTrendingHigh ConversionOpen MarketLow ReturnsPrice rangeAvg priceNo Dominant BrandLow Review BarrierQuality Gap
This niche Category average

Market

The Blind Box market on Amazon at a glance

Shoppers on Amazon United Kingdom searched for Blind Box 1.1M times last year and spent an estimated £131K. The top 5 brands take 38% of clicks. Demand peaks in Dec. Flapen scores it 58 out of 100, a Maybe.

01 · Demand

An estimated 1.1% of those searches ended in a purchase.

Shoppers searched for this 1.1M times in the last 12 months. That counts every search on Amazon United Kingdom for this niche's terms. An estimated 1.1% of those searches ended in a purchase. Searches in the last 90 days moved -10.4% against the 90 days before. Searches, conversion and average price together put the market at an estimated £131K a year.

Searches, last 12 months
1.1M
Growth, 90 days vs prior 90
-10.4%
Conversion, latest week
1.1%
Market size, estimated
£131Ka year
Peak month
December2.2× the quietest month
Top search term
blind box550K searches a year

02 · Price

A sale here is worth £10.67.

Listings sell for £10.67 on average, from £2.04 to £102.08. Amazon reports units sold in ranges. This niche sold 13K to 15K a year. The average listing sells 0 to 100 of them. At £10.67 that is £0 to £1K a year per listing.

Average price
£10.67under the $15 to $100 sweet spot
Price range
£2.04–£102.08
Amazon United Kingdom median price
£12.12across 27,606 niches
Units sold a year
13K–15K
Units per listing a year
0–100
Revenue per listing a year
£0–£1K
Returns
0.5%of orders · Amazon United Kingdom median 0.6%

03 · Entry bar

The bar here is low.

67% of listings pay for placement with sponsored ads. 94% ship with Prime. On an average day, 16.4% of listings are out of stock. The average listing ranks #525 within Dolls & Accessories. It carries 172 reviews at 4.44 stars, so a new listing needs social proof before a better product.

Sponsored listings
67%
Prime listings
94%
Out of stock, average day
16.4%
Average rank
#525in Dolls & Accessories
Average rating
4.44 starsAmazon United Kingdom average 4.36 stars
Average reviews
172per listing
Listings tracked
99

04 · Newcomers

12 of last year's 52 launches cleared the first-year sales bar.

52 products launched here in the last 12 months. 12 of them cleared the first-year sales bar, our mark for a successful launch. The brands on the shelf have sold for 23 months on average, so a newcomer is not facing entrenched names.

Launched, last 12 months
52
Successful launches
12Amazon's first-year sales bar
Average brand age
23 months

Products

Top Blind Box products & what they sell for

The products selling here, as shoppers see them on Amazon. Shelf share and sales are our estimates.

Prices and ratings read from Amazon on Jul 29, 2026. The live listing can differ.

Competition

Competition: brands, sellers & click share

The top 5 products take an estimated 21% of clicks, no more. An open shelf where new products get seen.

£0£3K£5K£8K£10K1101001K Review Count Sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

Brands

42 rising

Sellers

132

Est. top-5 brand share

38%

Top 20: 86%

Est. top-5 click share

21%

Top 20: 55%

Open market

56%

  • POP MART9%
  • Just Play9%
  • 52TOYS7%
  • Simba7%
  • Hello Kitty6%
  • Funko6%

Demand

Blind Box search demand

Weekly searches over the year, seasonality beneath. Pick a range.

35K25KHoliday '25JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul

Peak months: Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.2×

Search terms

Top Blind Box search terms shoppers use

The exact words shoppers type, with estimated yearly volume, growth, and conversion.

  • blind box550K/yr
  • blind bags179K/yr
  • blind boxes116K/yr
  • blind bag98K/yr
  • blind box plush28K/yr
  • anime blind box17K/yr
  • blind bags for girls20K/yr
  • miniso blind box24K/yr
  • blind box figures14K/yr
  • miffy blind box13K/yr

Reviews and returns

What reviews say buyers love and hate about Blind Box

We read the reviews and the return reasons for every product selling here.

22%of positive reviews mention “Quality-Overall”
24%of negative reviews mention “Value For Money”
0.5%of orders come back
“Too Expensive just for ONE”
A buyer, on “Value For Money”24% of negative reviews mention the same topic

Every topic

Every topic buyers talk about, one row each.

Red shows the share of negative reviews and green the share of positive reviews, biggest topic first. Open a row to read what they wrote.

19 topics

NegativePositive

FAQ

Common Blind Box questions

Answered from the same tracked data.

Figures on this page are estimates modeled from public Amazon pages and third-party keyword data. Amazon does not supply them, and no connected seller's data is used. How we handle Amazon data