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Nerf Gun

Maybe

An estimated 1.2% of orders come back. But the top 5 brands take 92% of clicks, so Nerf Gun is a Maybe.

Flapen Score
54
54 / 100
Top 19% of 1,773 Toys & Games niches · +10 vs the category median of 44
Market size
£723K/yr2.3M searches / yr
90-day growth
-3.9%search demand this quarter
Competition
44%top-5 click share · 10 brands · 192 sellers

Flapen Score

Nerf Gun against its category

The dotted line is the Toys & Games average. Past it, Nerf Gun is stronger. Inside it, weaker.

54Maybe
Big MarketTrendingHigh ConversionOpen MarketLow ReturnsPrice rangeAvg priceNo Dominant BrandLow Review BarrierQuality Gap
This niche Category average

Market

The Nerf Gun market on Amazon at a glance

Shoppers on Amazon United Kingdom searched for Nerf Gun 2.3M times last year and spent an estimated £723K. The top 5 brands take 92% of clicks. Demand peaks in Nov–Dec. Flapen scores it 54 out of 100, a Maybe.

01 · Demand

An estimated 1.8% of those searches ended in a purchase.

Shoppers searched for this 2.3M times in the last 12 months. That counts every search on Amazon United Kingdom for this niche's terms. An estimated 1.8% of those searches ended in a purchase. Searches in the last 90 days moved -3.9% against the 90 days before. Searches, conversion and average price together put the market at an estimated £723K a year.

Searches, last 12 months
2.3M
Growth, 90 days vs prior 90
-3.9%
Conversion, latest week
1.8%
Market size, estimated
£723Ka year
Peak month
December3.1× the quietest month
Top search term
nerf gun1.0M searches a year

02 · Price

A sale here is worth £17.35.

Listings sell for £17.35 on average, from £5.80 to £46.22. Amazon reports units sold in ranges. This niche sold 50K to 60K a year. The average listing sells 1,250 to 1,500 of them. At £17.35 that is £22K to £26K a year per listing.

Average price
£17.35inside the $15 to $100 sweet spot
Price range
£5.80–£46.22
Amazon United Kingdom median price
£12.12across 27,606 niches
Units sold a year
50K–60K
Units per listing a year
1,250–1,500
Revenue per listing a year
£22K–£26K
Returns
1.2%of orders · Amazon United Kingdom median 0.6%

03 · Entry bar

The bar here is reviews.

42% of listings pay for placement with sponsored ads. 100% ship with Prime. On an average day, 6.8% of listings are out of stock. The average listing ranks #31 within Dress-Up Accessories. It carries 3,593 reviews at 4.31 stars, so a new listing needs social proof before a better product.

Sponsored listings
42%
Prime listings
100%
Out of stock, average day
6.8%
Average rank
#31in Dress-Up Accessories
Average rating
4.31 starsAmazon United Kingdom average 4.36 stars
Average reviews
3,593per listing
Listings tracked
31

04 · Newcomers

1 of last year's 1 launches cleared the first-year sales bar.

1 products launched here in the last 12 months. 1 of them cleared the first-year sales bar, our mark for a successful launch. The brands on the shelf have sold for 35 months on average, so a newcomer is not facing entrenched names.

Launched, last 12 months
1
Successful launches
1Amazon's first-year sales bar
Average brand age
35 months

Products

Top Nerf Gun products & what they sell for

The products selling here, as shoppers see them on Amazon. Shelf share and sales are our estimates.

Prices and ratings read from Amazon on Jul 29, 2026. The live listing can differ.

Competition

Competition: brands, sellers & click share

The top 5 products take an estimated 44% of clicks. Leaders hold, but buyers still shop past them.

£0£36K£72K£108K£145K101001K10K100K Review Count Sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

Brands

10 falling

Sellers

192

Est. top-5 brand share

92%

Top 20: 100%

Est. top-5 click share

44%

Top 20: 86%

Open market

6%

  • Nerf49%
  • XSHOT28%
  • LUUFAN9%
  • FoMass4%
  • FOR21JOYS2%
  • Dncvb2%
  • Open — no brand owns it (4 brands, 6%)

Demand

Nerf Gun search demand

Weekly searches over the year, seasonality beneath. Pick a range.

120K80KHoliday '24Spike '25Black Friday '25Holiday '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.1×

Search terms

Top Nerf Gun search terms shoppers use

The exact words shoppers type, with estimated yearly volume, growth, and conversion.

  • nerf gun1.0M/yr
  • nerf383K/yr
  • nerf guns233K/yr
  • xshot120K/yr
  • nerf guns for boys134K/yr
  • x shot79K/yr
  • nerf gun sniper41K/yr
  • xshot gun38K/yr
  • nerf sniper37K/yr
  • nerf gun pistol33K/yr

Reviews and returns

What reviews say buyers love and hate about Nerf Gun

We read the reviews and the return reasons for every product selling here.

24%of positive reviews mention “Fun/Entertainment Experience”
20%of negative reviews mention “Durability”
1.2%of orders come back
“Broken before use”
A buyer, on “Durability”20% of negative reviews mention the same topic

Every topic

Every topic buyers talk about, one row each.

Red shows the share of negative reviews and green the share of positive reviews, biggest topic first. Open a row to read what they wrote.

16 topics

NegativePositive

FAQ

Common Nerf Gun questions

Answered from the same tracked data.

Figures on this page are estimates modeled from public Amazon pages and third-party keyword data. Amazon does not supply them, and no connected seller's data is used. How we handle Amazon data