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combination padlock outdoor

Skip it

A small market ($68K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 17Growth 25Conversion 85Competition 66Returns 95Price range 29Avg price 29Brand share 48Review moat 25Quality gap 47

Returns

Incredible1.0%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Conversion

Great9.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Good45%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay76%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Avg price

Okay£9.50

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Okay£2.81–£20.04

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Growth

Bad-0.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Review moat

Bad4,640.87

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Market size

Bad£68K

£68K/yr · 76K searches

According to Flapen's Amazon United Kingdom niche tracking, combination padlock outdoor is a £68K/yr Amazon United Kingdom market (76K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 76% of demand. Demand peaks in Aug. Verdict: Skip it — 48/100.

Data updated Jul 22, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

combination padlock outdoor market data

Units sold / yr
8K–10K
avg 250–500/product
Revenue / yr
£76K–£95K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
9.4%
Avg BSR
#18
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
100%
Out of stock
0.0%
Avg brand age
44 months
Avg seller age
173 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 45% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

13 falling

Sellers

27

Top-5 brand share

76%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

45%

Top 20: 90%

Open market

16%

  • Diyife29%
  • NovLock13%
  • Squire13%
  • GRIFEMA12%
  • ZHEGE9%
  • SharkByte8%
  • Open — no brand owns it (7 brands, 16%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 68 weeks — -0.3% search growth over the last 90 days.
4K3KSpike '25Spike '26AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Aug · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.4×

Top combination padlock outdoor search terms

  • outdoor combination padlock12K/yr
  • combination padlock weatherproof7K/yr
  • padlocks with code outdoor8K/yr
  • coded padlock outdoor6K/yr
  • digital padlock6K/yr
  • outdoor shed combination padlock4K/yr
  • code padlock outdoor4K/yr
  • large combination padlock4K/yr
  • outdoor combination lock4K/yr
  • outdoor combination padlock weatherproof4K/yr
All search terms

Top combination padlock outdoor products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%£3K10%£7K15%£10K20%£14K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about combination padlock outdoor

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Locking Mechanism28%

“Smart lock”

Quality-Overall15%

“good quality item, arrived quickly, easy to use and looks substantial”

Value For Money12%

“Excellent value”

Strength10%

“Looks strong”

Ease Of Use7%

“Easy to use”

Assembly/Installation5%

“easy to set code”

Advertised Vs Actual Product4%

“As described”

Security3%

“Good and Secure”

Size-Overall2%

“Fits well”

Durability2%

“nice and durable”

What buyers complain about

Locking Mechanism18%

“Bad lock”

Durability16%

“Broke within the month”

Quality-Overall15%

“Poor quality manufacturer has cheapened the product”

Size-Overall8%

“Not fit for purpose”

Rusts/Corrodes3%

“then the shackle started to rust”

Instructions/User Manual/Troubleshooting3%

“The instructions on the packaging are poor to say the least”

Ease Of Use3%

“it wouldn't open”

Jamming/Clogging3%

“I thought it was jammed”

Functionality-Overall2%

“Did not work”

Value For Money2%

“was a waste of money”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall53%
Locking Mechanism15%
Functionality-Overall9%
Defective Material/Parts3%
Mechanism Issues2%
Weight Heavy2%
Quality-Overall2%
Ease Of Use2%
Strength2%
Thickness1%

Common questions

Is combination padlock outdoor profitable to sell on Amazon United Kingdom?
The niche generates £68K/yr across 30 tracked products. 0 of 2 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -0.3%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (48/100).
How competitive is the combination padlock outdoor niche?
13 brands and 27 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 45% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 76% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in combination padlock outdoor?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Locking Mechanism, Durability, Quality-Overall. The return rate is 1.0%.
When does demand for combination padlock outdoor peak?
Demand peaks in Aug; the busiest month runs 2.4× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the combination padlock outdoor niche?
Listings span £2.81–£20.04; the average listing price is £9.50 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 4,641 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.