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tempera cakes

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.9%), but a small market ($37K/yr) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 9Growth 56Conversion 16Competition 77Returns 95Price range 38Avg price 94Brand share 26Review moat 87Quality gap 40

Returns

Incredible0.9%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$46.69

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Great266.77

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Great38%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Growth

Good+30.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Price range

Okay$7.32–$232.11

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Okay90%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Conversion

Bad1.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$37K

$37K/yr · 61K searches

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, tempera cakes is a $37K/yr Amazon United States market (61K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 90% of demand. Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct. Verdict: Worth a look — 50/100.

Data updated Jul 10, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

tempera cakes market data

Units sold / yr
2K–2K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$70K–$93K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
1.3%
Avg BSR
#4,010
Page quality
0%
Prime
97%
Sponsored
86%
Out of stock
1.6%
Avg brand age
72 months
Avg seller age
180 days

Competition & brand share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (38% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

13 flat

Sellers

48

Top-5 brand share

90%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

38%

Top 20: 82%

Open market

8%

  • Jack Richeson33%
  • Nuanchu26%
  • Colorations22%
  • Heigble6%
  • First Impressions3%
  • Sax3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (7 brands, 8%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 56 weeks — +30.2% search growth over the last 90 days.
2K1KPrime Day '25Spike '26JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Aug, Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.4×

Top tempera cakes search terms

  • tempera cakes18K/yr
  • tempera paint cakes9K/yr
  • jack richeson soft pastels7K/yr
  • paint cakes4K/yr
  • watercolor cakes4K/yr
  • tempera cakes classroom pack3K/yr
  • jack richeson15K/yr
All search terms

Top tempera cakes products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$2K10%$4K15%$6K20%$7K1101001K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about tempera cakes

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color54%

“Vivid brightcolor”

Quality-Overall9%

“Great quality for the price point”

Value For Money7%

“Good value”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“Set up and clean up are super easy”

Durability3%

“Theyre durable and crack-resistant, so my kids can work on their projects without worrying about the paint messing up”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“Received as advertised”

Engraving/Paint/Sublimation2%

“I love to paint”

Paint Quality2%

“This Tempera Paint Cakes Set is perfect for my kids' art time”

Ease Of Use2%

“Easy to use, great colors”

Creativity1%

“Perfect for art projects with my daughter”

What buyers complain about

Value For Money18%

“They are so expensive”

Color14%

“I dont even buy the little trays of water color anymore”

Product Condition9%

“Item was not new”

Quality-Overall9%

“These really are not good quality”

Gifting Purpose9%

“it was a gift so its unfortunate the case that holds the colors arrived in damaged condition”

Ease Of Use5%

“Hard to pick up pigment”

Durability5%

“It breaks”

Material Quality3%

“Why struggle with using cheap materials”

Smudge Resistance2%

“kind of turns into a mess”

Paint Quality2%

“The paint dries very chalky on paper”

Top return reasons

Color28%
Paint Quality21%
Size-Overall14%
Defective Material/Parts12%
Value For Money7%
Advertised Vs Actual Product5%
Quality-Overall3%
Gifting Purpose2%
Material Quality1%
Functionality-Overall1%

Common questions

Is tempera cakes profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $37K/yr across 35 tracked products. 0 of 8 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +30.2%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (50/100).
How competitive is the tempera cakes niche?
13 brands and 48 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 38% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 90% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in tempera cakes?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Value For Money, Color, Product Condition. The return rate is 0.9%.
When does demand for tempera cakes peak?
Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct; the busiest month runs 2.4× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the tempera cakes niche?
Listings span $7.32–$232.11; the average listing price is $46.69 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 267 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.