Is pumpkin painting kit profitable to sell on Amazon United States?

The niche generates $41K/yr across 4 tracked products. 90-day search growth is -7.2%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (25/100).

How competitive is the pumpkin painting kit niche?

4 brands and 5 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 100% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 100% of demand.

What do buyers complain about in pumpkin painting kit?

Top complaints mined from reviews: Dry/Empty Ink, Quality-Overall, Moist/Dry. The return rate is 1.8%.

When does demand for pumpkin painting kit peak?

Demand peaks in Sep–Oct; the busiest month runs 719.5× the quietest.

What does it cost to enter the pumpkin painting kit niche?

Listings span $7.35–$38.14; the average listing price is $20.45 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 7,077 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.

pumpkin painting kit

Skip it

A concentrated shelf (top 5 take 100% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Avg price

Great$20.45

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Returns

Great1.8%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Price range

Great$7.35–$38.14

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Bad7,077.25

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Bad-7.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$41K

$41K/yr · 492K searches

Conversion

Bad0.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Bad100%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Brand share

Bad100%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, pumpkin painting kit is a $41K/yr Amazon United States market (492K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 100% of demand. Demand peaks in Sep–Oct. Verdict: Skip it — 25/100.

Data updated Jul 10, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

pumpkin painting kit market data

Units sold / yr: 50K–60K; avg 1,250–1,500/product
Revenue / yr: $1.0M–$1.2M; units × avg price
Conversion rate: 0.4%
Avg BSR: #371
Page quality: 0%
Prime: 100%
Sponsored: 50%
Out of stock: 6.2%
Avg brand age: 42 months
Avg seller age: 138 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products capture 100% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

4 falling

Sellers

Top-5 brand share

100%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

100%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

Pagather31%
Caliart25%
JIABNUKKN24%
Simgoing21%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 99 weeks — -7.2% search growth over the last 90 days.

Peak months: Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 719.5×

Open Trend

Top pumpkin painting kit search terms

pumpkin painting kit206K/yr -10.9%0.8% conv.
pumpkin paint85K/yr +4.3%0.1% conv.
pumpkin painting kit for kids18K/yr +28.8%0.0% conv.
pumpkin painting31K/yr +24.8%0.0% conv.
paint for pumpkins60K/yr -56.6%0.0% conv.
acrylic paint for pumpkins5K/yr +103.6%0.0% conv.
paint for pumpkin painting13K/yr -9.4%0.0% conv.
pumpkin painting supplies26K/yr -46.1%0.0% conv.
pumpkin paints3K/yr +0.0%0.0% conv.
best paint for pumpkins4K/yr +6.9%0.0% conv.

All search terms

Top pumpkin painting kit products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 4 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Top sellers

by 90-day click share

Pagather 24 Colors Acrylic Paint Markers Dual Tip with Fine Tip and Brush Tip Pens for Fabric Stone Wood Canvas Ceramic Metal Glass Rock Painting DIY Crafts

Pagather$7.354.6★4,424 rev

Caliart 24 Colors Acrylic Paint Set with 12 Brushes

Caliart$21.284.7★23,739 rev

JIABNUKKN Pumpkin Decorations Halloween Crafts for Kids 10Pcs Paint Your Own White Plastic Artificial Pumpkin Decorating Kit Gift Toys for Kids DIY Halloween Thanksgiving Fall Decor

JIABNUKKN$15.034.3★144 rev

Simgoing 36 Sets Pumpkin Painting Kits Fall Halloween Crafts White Plastic Pumpkin with Stickers Paint Paintbrushes for Autumn Thanksgiving Activity DIY Art Projects Party Decor(Spooky Face)

Simgoing$38.145.0★2 rev

Newest

by launch date

Simgoing 36 Sets Pumpkin Painting Kits Fall Halloween Crafts White Plastic Pumpkin with Stickers Paint Paintbrushes for Autumn Thanksgiving Activity DIY Art Projects Party Decor(Spooky Face)

Simgoing$38.142 rev

1y ago

Pagather 24 Colors Acrylic Paint Markers Dual Tip with Fine Tip and Brush Tip Pens for Fabric Stone Wood Canvas Ceramic Metal Glass Rock Painting DIY Crafts

Pagather$7.354,424 rev

2y ago

JIABNUKKN Pumpkin Decorations Halloween Crafts for Kids 10Pcs Paint Your Own White Plastic Artificial Pumpkin Decorating Kit Gift Toys for Kids DIY Halloween Thanksgiving Fall Decor

JIABNUKKN$15.03144 rev

4y ago

Caliart 24 Colors Acrylic Paint Set with 12 Brushes

Caliart$21.2823,739 rev

5y ago

What buyers say about pumpkin painting kit

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color25%

“colors are true”

Quality-Overall13%

“Good Quality”

Value For Money9%

“Good value”

Pen/Pencil Quality9%

“The quality of the markers is amazing”

Writing Experience5%

“Easy to write and draw”

Drawing Experience4%

“Great tool for creating detailed art”

Ease Of Use3%

“easy to use”

Fun/Entertainment Experience3%

“They are fun to use”

Nib/Tip Quality2%

“However, the dual nibs/points are really good, and effective to draw lines or fill ins”

Functionality-Overall2%

“Serves its purpose well enough”

What buyers complain about

Dry/Empty Ink18%

“Every marker Ive tried in this new set is dry”

Quality-Overall16%

“Cheap”

Moist/Dry13%

“arrived dried out”

Ink Leakage7%

“Terrible coverage and ink consistency”

Drying Time7%

“They dry out wayyyyy too fast”

Water Resistance5%

“Not waterproof”

Nib/Tip Quality4%

“Some of the marker tips are already damaged”

Display Colors3%

“getting 22 and not 24 colors is very disappointing”

Jamming/Clogging2%

“then started to clump up after the fourth use”

Product Condition2%

“Looks like this product was returned”

Top return reasons

Color16%

Advertised Vs Actual Product11%

Value For Money10%

Dry/Empty Ink10%

Ink Refill8%

Functionality-Overall7%

Product Condition7%

Size-Overall7%

Defective Material/Parts5%

Display Colors4%

Common questions

Is pumpkin painting kit profitable to sell on Amazon United States?: The niche generates $41K/yr across 4 tracked products. 90-day search growth is -7.2%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (25/100).
How competitive is the pumpkin painting kit niche?: 4 brands and 5 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 100% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 100% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in pumpkin painting kit?: Top complaints mined from reviews: Dry/Empty Ink, Quality-Overall, Moist/Dry. The return rate is 1.8%.
When does demand for pumpkin painting kit peak?: Demand peaks in Sep–Oct; the busiest month runs 719.5× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the pumpkin painting kit niche?: Listings span $7.35–$38.14; the average listing price is $20.45 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 7,077 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.