Skip to content
38

toms boots

Skip it

Soft demand (-88.9% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 6Growth 0Conversion 1Competition 97Returns 1Price range 74Avg price 93Brand share 43Review moat 53Quality gap 72

Competition

Incredible12%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Great$49.85

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$9.49–$124.64

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Good1,396.05

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Okay79%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Market size

Bad$23K

$23K/yr · 571K searches

Conversion

Bad0.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Returns

Bad11.8%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Growth

Bad-88.9%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, toms boots is a $23K/yr Amazon United States market (571K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 79% of demand. Demand peaks in Jan–Oct–Nov–Dec. Verdict: Skip it — 38/100.

Data updated Jul 14, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

toms boots market data

Units sold / yr
1K–2K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$62K–$75K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
0.1%
Avg BSR
#2,162
Page quality
0%
Prime
95%
Sponsored
75%
Out of stock
13.4%
Avg brand age
36 months
Avg seller age
161 days

Competition & brand share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (12% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

56 rising

Sellers

100

Top-5 brand share

79%

Top 20: 91%

Top-5 click share

12%

Top 20: 32%

Open market

25%

  • TOMS60%
  • Amazon Essentials8%
  • PRETTYGARDEN2%
  • Trendy Queen2%
  • Apriddeo2%
  • CHICME1%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -88.9% search growth over the last 90 days.
45K35KSpike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Black Friday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 27.8×

Top toms boots search terms

  • toms boots110K/yr
  • toms boots women110K/yr
  • toms booties32K/yr
  • cute warm outfits for women7K/yr
  • toms womens boots39K/yr
  • ropa de invierno para mujer elegante24K/yr
  • new york outfits women winter47K/yr
  • toms booties women16K/yr
  • new york winter outfits for women14K/yr
  • winter birthday outfits for women58K/yr
All search terms

Top toms boots products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%1%$2282%$4553%$6834%$9111101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about toms boots

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Warmth18%

“Keep me warm”

Comfort-Overall17%

“Awesome comfortable”

Size-Overall14%

“fit as expected”

Soft Feel8%

“SO SOFT”

Quality-Overall7%

“the quality seems very solid so far”

Color4%

“Colors are beautiful”

Material Quality3%

“Comfortable material”

Thickness3%

“Nice thick socks”

Shape/Style2%

“Very flattering”

Value For Money2%

“Good value for money”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall22%

“Awkward fit”

Quality-Overall5%

“Cheaply made”

Thickness3%

“not thick at all”

Material Quality3%

“Material wasnt what I thought”

Pilling/Linting3%

“they pill really quickly”

Color2%

“Fading Color”

Durability2%

“broke easily”

Shape/Style2%

“Not flattering at all”

Product Condition2%

“was clearly used”

Comfort-Overall2%

“Very uncomfortable shoe”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall44%
Length11%
Waist Fit5%
Material Quality5%
Color4%
Sleeve Fit3%
Advertised Vs Actual Product2%
Feet Fit2%
Width2%
Shape/Style2%

Common questions

Is toms boots profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $23K/yr across 248 tracked products. 1 of 9 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -88.9%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (38/100).
How competitive is the toms boots niche?
56 brands and 100 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 12% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 79% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in toms boots?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Quality-Overall, Thickness. The return rate is 11.8% — above our launch gate.
When does demand for toms boots peak?
Demand peaks in Jan–Oct–Nov–Dec; the busiest month runs 27.8× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the toms boots niche?
Listings span $9.49–$124.64; the average listing price is $49.85 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 1,396 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.