Skip to content
45

Guess

Skip it

Weak search conversion (0.1%) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 68Growth 24Conversion 2Competition 99Returns 27Price range 31Avg price 92Brand share 19Review moat 36Quality gap 35

Competition

Incredible6%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Great$53.80

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Market size

Good$697K

$697K/yr · 9.3M searches

Review moat

Okay2,881.88

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Price range

Okay$11.67–$288.02

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Returns

Okay4.9%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Growth

Bad-1.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Bad92%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Conversion

Bad0.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Is guess profitable on Amazon?

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, guess is a $697K/yr Amazon United States market (9.3M searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 92% of demand. Verdict: Skip it — 45/100.

Data updated Jul 14, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

guess market size & sales

Units sold, revenue, conversion and listing quality across the tracked shelf.
Units sold / yr
13K–15K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$673K–$807K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
0.1%
Avg BSR
#2,013
Page quality
0%
Prime
90%
Sponsored
41%
Out of stock
19.8%
Avg brand age
38 months
Avg seller age
141 days

Competition: brands, sellers & click share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (6% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

43 rising

Sellers

74

Top-5 brand share

92%

Top 20: 98%

Top-5 click share

6%

Top 20: 19%

Open market

29%

  • GUESS66%
  • Calvin Klein2%
  • ALDO1%
  • Stratuxx Kaze1%
  • Amazon Essentials1%
  • Nautica0%

guess demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 48 weeks — -1.1% search growth over the last 90 days.
350K250KSpike '25Black Friday '25Aug '25Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Mar '26May '26

Top guess search terms shoppers use

The exact queries shoppers type, with yearly volume, growth and conversion.
  • guess1.6M/yr
  • guess bags for women1.5M/yr
  • sandalias guess para mujer911K/yr
  • guess sandals for women521K/yr
  • guess shoes for women866K/yr
  • guess sandals291K/yr
  • tenis guess para mujer605K/yr
  • zapatos guess para mujer416K/yr
  • sandalias guess221K/yr
  • guess bag297K/yr
All search terms

Top guess products & what they sell for

Every tracked product — its share of the shelf, its review moat, and what it sells for.

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%1%$7K2%$14K3%$21K4%$28K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What reviews say buyers love and hate about guess

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Size-Overall17%

“The shoes fit well”

Quality-Overall15%

“Awesome quality”

Comfort-Overall15%

“Comfortable and Cute”

Value For Money7%

“Great purchase for the price”

Color5%

“The color is cute”

Shape/Style5%

“style are amazing”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Exactly as described”

Material Quality3%

“Decent material”

Durability2%

“it still looks as good as new”

Weight Light2%

“The shoe is overall lightweight”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall22%

“Little wide”

Quality-Overall7%

“Poor Quality”

Strap/String Quality5%

“Straps are too short”

Durability5%

“Falling apart”

Comfort-Overall5%

“painful”

Smell3%

“the alcohol smell some perfume has”

Material Quality3%

“the material it's made of is stiff”

Value For Money2%

“Not worth the price”

Product Condition2%

“Received a used bag”

Zipper Quality2%

“the zipper wouldn't work”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall39%
Feet Fit13%
Length9%
Width8%
Material Quality4%
Comfort-Overall4%
Advertised Vs Actual Product3%
Color3%
Quality-Overall2%
Shape/Style2%

Common guess questions

Is guess profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $697K/yr across 468 tracked products. 58 of 156 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -1.1%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (45/100).
How competitive is the guess niche?
43 brands and 74 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 6% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 92% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in guess?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Quality-Overall, Strap/String Quality. The return rate is 4.9%.
What does it cost to enter the guess niche?
Listings span $11.67–$288.02; the average listing price is $53.80 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 2,882 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.