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47

Fall Shirt

Skip it

A small market ($9K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 2Growth 80Conversion 2Competition 95Returns 5Price range 57Avg price 56Brand share 79Review moat 25Quality gap 52

Competition

Great20%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Growth

Great+73.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Great56%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Price range

Good$6.26–$26.47

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Good$12.67

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Bad4,024.84

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Returns

Bad10.6%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Market size

Bad$9K

$9K/yr · 367K searches

Conversion

Bad0.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Is fall shirt profitable on Amazon?

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, fall shirt is a $9K/yr Amazon United States market (367K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 56% of demand. Demand peaks in Sep–Oct–Nov. Verdict: Skip it — 47/100.

Data updated Jul 21, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

fall shirt market size & sales

Units sold, revenue, conversion and listing quality across the tracked shelf.
Units sold / yr
2K–2K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$19K–$25K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
0.2%
Avg BSR
#1,042
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
93%
Out of stock
2.1%
Avg brand age
26 months
Avg seller age
183 days

Competition: brands, sellers & click share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (20% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

30 rising

Sellers

37

Top-5 brand share

56%

Top 20: 90%

Top-5 click share

20%

Top 20: 59%

Open market

40%

  • AUTOMET15%
  • WIHOLL13%
  • ANRABESS11%
  • Trendy Queen9%
  • Zeagoo7%
  • PRETTYGARDEN5%

fall shirt demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 86 weeks — +73.2% search growth over the last 90 days.
50K30KSpike '24Black Friday '24Spike '25Spike '26AugSepOctNovDecJanFebJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMayJun

Peak months: Sep, Oct, Nov · busiest ÷ quietest = 139.3×

Top fall shirt search terms shoppers use

The exact queries shoppers type, with yearly volume, growth and conversion.
  • fall long sleeve tops for women88K/yr
  • fall shirt112K/yr
  • fall womens shirts41K/yr
  • womens fall shirt37K/yr
  • blusas de otoo para mujer 20241K/yr
  • women fall shirts29K/yr
  • womens cute fall tops20K/yr
  • casual fall tops for women17K/yr
  • women tops fall19K/yr
  • sweater for women 2024135/yr
All search terms

Top fall shirt products & what they sell for

Every tracked product — its share of the shelf, its review moat, and what it sells for.

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%2%$1774%$3546%$5308%$707101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What reviews say buyers love and hate about fall shirt

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Size-Overall25%

“Fits as expected”

Comfort-Overall13%

“Beautiful, comfy easy to wear”

Soft Feel11%

“It's very soft”

Color8%

“Vibrant colors”

Quality-Overall6%

“Good quality”

Material Quality5%

“Comfortable material”

Value For Money4%

“Great deal”

Weight Light3%

“Its lightweight and breathable”

Shape/Style2%

“Very Flattering”

Warmth2%

“Toasty warm”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall25%

“It is huge”

Material Quality7%

“Didn't like the material”

Thickness4%

“A bit thinner than expected”

Quality-Overall4%

“Very cheaply made”

Smell3%

“the chemical smell when it came out of the package was overwhelming”

Color3%

“Color is off a bit”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Not as shown”

Sleeve Fit2%

“Long sleeve”

Length2%

“Length Long”

Shape/Style2%

“Not my style”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall46%
Length8%
Material Quality8%
Color7%
Sleeve Fit5%
Chest Fit4%
Thin3%
Waist Fit3%
Shape/Style2%
Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

Common fall shirt questions

Is fall shirt profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $9K/yr across 61 tracked products. 4 of 15 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +73.2%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (47/100).
How competitive is the fall shirt niche?
30 brands and 37 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 20% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 56% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in fall shirt?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Material Quality, Thickness. The return rate is 10.6% — above our launch gate.
When does demand for fall shirt peak?
Demand peaks in Sep–Oct–Nov; the busiest month runs 139.3× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the fall shirt niche?
Listings span $6.26–$26.47; the average listing price is $12.67 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 4,025 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.