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61

black derby hat

Worth a look

Shows demand growing +159.0% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 13Growth 96Conversion 7Competition 95Returns 17Price range 86Avg price 93Brand share 92Review moat 68Quality gap 68

Growth

Incredible+159.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Incredible19%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Great$22.07

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Brand share

Great43%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Price range

Great$5.49–$87.07

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Good774.19

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Returns

Bad7.2%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Market size

Bad$51K

$51K/yr · 396K searches

Conversion

Bad0.6%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, black derby hat is a $51K/yr Amazon United States market (396K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 43% of demand. Verdict: Worth a look — 61/100.

Data updated Jul 12, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

black derby hat market data

Units sold / yr
6K–8K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$132K–$177K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
0.6%
Avg BSR
#722
Page quality
0%
Prime
99%
Sponsored
78%
Out of stock
0.3%
Avg brand age
35 months
Avg seller age
179 days

Competition & brand share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (19% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

55 falling

Sellers

72

Top-5 brand share

43%

Top 20: 83%

Top-5 click share

19%

Top 20: 45%

Open market

52%

  • Zando16%
  • ORIDOOR9%
  • RZTA6%
  • Century Star6%
  • HIWIND6%
  • Z&X5%

Demand

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 10 weeks — +159.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
30K20KMay '26May '26May '26May '26May '26Jun '26Jun '26Jun '26Jun '26Jul '26

Top black derby hat search terms

  • kentucky derby169K/yr
  • wide brim derby hats for women24K/yr
  • wide brimmed derby hats for women20K/yr
  • black derby hat23K/yr
  • black kentucky derby hat12K/yr
  • ladies church hats23K/yr
  • church hats for women clearance15K/yr
  • womens derby hats 20267K/yr
  • luxury kentucky derby hats9K/yr
  • derby hat decorations6K/yr
All search terms

Top black derby hat products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%2%$1K4%$2K6%$3K8%$4K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about black derby hat

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall16%

“Good Quality”

Size-Overall11%

“the fit is comfortable”

Value For Money10%

“Great value”

Advertised Vs Actual Product9%

“Just what I wanted”

Shape/Style9%

“Very flattering”

Color8%

“The colors are vibrant”

Fun/Entertainment Experience8%

“Great family game”

Comfort-Overall5%

“Very nice and comfortable”

Weight Light3%

“Lovely Lightweight Special Occasion Hat”

Design-Overall3%

“It features a visually appealing and vibrant design”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall19%

“it was a little tight”

Quality-Overall14%

“Poor Quality”

Advertised Vs Actual Product12%

“Looks nothing like the picture”

Shape/Style6%

“The hat doesnt hold it shape/ brim”

Wrinkles6%

“since it wrinkles easily”

Material Quality4%

“Cheap material”

Value For Money4%

“Total waste of money”

Color3%

“already showing white”

Strength2%

“It was very flimsy”

Transparency2%

“I couldn't see because it kept falling down”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall51%
Color14%
Advertised Vs Actual Product7%
Shape/Style6%
Material Quality4%
Quality-Overall4%
Value For Money2%
Wrinkles2%
Strength1%
Functionality-Overall1%

Common questions

Is black derby hat profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $51K/yr across 134 tracked products. 2 of 17 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +159.0%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (61/100).
How competitive is the black derby hat niche?
55 brands and 72 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 19% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 43% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in black derby hat?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Quality-Overall, Advertised Vs Actual Product. The return rate is 7.2% — above our launch gate.
What does it cost to enter the black derby hat niche?
Listings span $5.49–$87.07; the average listing price is $22.07 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 774 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.