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65

paint by number for adults

Worth a look

Shows a $2.9M/yr market, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 96Growth 12Conversion 22Competition 80Returns 85Price range 70Avg price 73Brand share 95Review moat 67Quality gap 62

Market size

Incredible$2.9M

$2.9M/yr · 11.3M searches

Brand share

Great40%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Returns

Great1.5%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Competition

Great35%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Good$14.78

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$6.22–$35.16

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Good827.94

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Bad1.8%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Bad-26.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, paint by number for adults is a $2.9M/yr Amazon United States market (11.3M searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 40% of demand. Demand peaks in Jan–Dec. Verdict: Worth a look — 65/100.

Data updated Jul 10, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

Market data

Units sold / yr
250K–300K
avg 3,000–4,000/product
Revenue / yr
$3.7M–$4.4M
units × avg price
Launch success
63%
12 of 19 new (360d)
Conversion rate
1.8%
Avg BSR
#38
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
96%
Out of stock
1.5%
Avg brand age
28 months
Avg seller age
168 days

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (35% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

36 falling

Sellers

38

Top-5 brand share

40%

Top 20: 84%

Top-5 click share

35%

Top 20: 71%

Open market

56%

  • CHWGLFGG15%
  • Okarina8%
  • Yezavesu7%
  • xackcme6%
  • Offito5%
  • Ycydilirab4%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -26.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
350K250KHoliday '24Prime Day '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.2×

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%4%$117K8%$235K12%$352K16%$469K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 51 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Fun/Entertainment Experience13%

“Fun for kids and adults”

Quality-Overall12%

“the brushes are high quality”

Paint Quality11%

“good variety of paint colors”

Color10%

“Beautiful colors”

Value For Money9%

“Well worth it”

Ease Of Use8%

“Ease of use”

Gifting Purpose3%

“good gift”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Exactly as described”

Design-Overall3%

“The design was incredibly clear”

Size-Overall2%

“I like there are so many sizes”

What buyers complain about

Paint Quality22%

“The quality of the paint is very crappy”

Size-Overall13%

“Came in a small box”

Color8%

“The colors are terrible”

Quality-Overall7%

“This brand is terrible”

Advertised Vs Actual Product5%

“Nothing like the picture”

Ease Of Use3%

“very hard to see”

Frame Quality2%

“Does not look nice in a frame”

Display Colors2%

“no way to figure out what color to use”

Value For Money2%

“Price is always going up”

Durability2%

“Not long lasting”

Top return reasons

Paint Quality25%
Size-Overall17%
Advertised Vs Actual Product15%
Frame Quality12%
Material Quality6%
Quality-Overall4%
Value For Money3%
Print Quality2%
Defective Material/Parts2%
Stretchability/Expandability/Elasticity2%

Common questions

Is paint by number for adults profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $2.9M/yr across 51 tracked products. 12 of 19 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -26.0%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (65/100).
How competitive is the paint by number for adults niche?
36 brands and 38 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 35% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 40% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in paint by number for adults?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Paint Quality, Size-Overall, Color. The return rate is 1.5%.
When does demand for paint by number for adults peak?
Demand peaks in Jan–Dec; the busiest month runs 2.2× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the paint by number for adults niche?
Listings span $6.22–$35.16; the average listing price is $14.78 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 828 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.

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