new years hats
Skip itSoft demand (-54.8% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.
Review moat
Incredible48.27avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
Avg price
Incredible$30.65avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
Price range
Good$8.05–$144.12cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
Market size
Good$515K$515K/yr · 340K searches
Conversion
Good4.9%search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
Brand share
Good74%top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand
Quality gap
Okay4.5★avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
Competition
Okay68%top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse
Returns
Okay4.8%return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
Growth
Bad-54.8%90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, new years hats is a $515K/yr Amazon United States market (340K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 74% of demand. Demand peaks in Jan–Dec. Verdict: Skip it — 45/100.
Data updated Jul 23, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches
new years hats market data
- Units sold / yr
- 15K–20K
- avg 0–100/product
- Revenue / yr
- $460K–$613K
- units × avg price
- Conversion rate
- 4.9%
- Avg BSR
- #2,927
- Page quality
- 0%
- Prime
- 91%
- Sponsored
- 73%
- Out of stock
- 23.7%
- Avg brand age
- 37 months
- Avg seller age
- 205 days
Competition & brand share
The top 5 products take 68% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.Brands
10 falling
Sellers
12
Top-5 brand share
74%
Top 20: 100%
Top-5 click share
68%
Top 20: 100%
Open market
26%
- Atonofun19%
- BinaryABC17%
- JUNEBRUSHS14%
- Tisancy8%
- Kicoyuaz8%
- MAFENT8%
Demand & seasonality
Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -54.8% search growth over the last 90 days.Peak months: Jan, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 558.2×
Top new years hats search terms
- new years eve hats79K/yr
- new years hats104K/yr
- new years hat40K/yr
- new years eve party hats80K/yr
- happy new year hats37K/yr
Top new years hats products on Amazon
Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.
All 11 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.
Top sellers
by 90-day click share
BinaryABC Happy New Year Headband Tiara New Years Party Favor New Years Eve Party Decorations 12Pcs
BinaryABC$8.054.5★252 rev

JUNEBRUSHS 24PCS Happy New Years Eve Party Hats Adjustable Hats Paper Cone Hat for Decorations New Years Eve Party Supplies
JUNEBRUSHS$9.934.2★4 rev

Atonofun 2026 New Years Eve Party Supplies for 20 Guests 48 Pcs New Year Eve Party Hats and Horns Headband Tattoos Blowouts Leis 2026 New Year Party Favors
Atonofun$31.574.7★25 rev

Tisancy 20 Pack Lights Cowboy Cowgirl Hat LED Flashing Light Up Hat for Western Bachelorette Party Wedding Bridal(Silver Trendy)
Tisancy$144.124.6★59 rev

Happy New Year Bucket Hat for Men Women Teens Packable New Year Theme Sun Hats Fisherman Hat Cap
Kicoyuaz$18.174.4★19 rev
Newest
by launch date
JOYEONDEF 30 Pcs Gold Birthday Party Hats Decoration Set Black and Gold Cone Hats Includes 8 Paper Hats and 22 Metallic Noise Makers
JOYEONDEF$12.8437 rev

Atonofun 2026 New Years Eve Party Supplies for 20 Guests 48 Pcs New Year Eve Party Hats and Horns Headband Tattoos Blowouts Leis 2026 New Year Party Favors
Atonofun$31.5725 rev

Atonofun 2026 New Years Eve Party Supplies for 24 Guests 60 Pcs New Year Eve Party Hats and Horns Headband Tattoos Blowouts 2026 New Year Party Favors
Atonofun$31.7844 rev

TOTSHOM 2026 New Years Eve Party Supplies 60 Pcs New Year Eve Party Hats and Horns Headband Tattoos Blowouts 2026 New Year Party Favors
TOTSHOM$28.9925 rev

JUNEBRUSHS 24PCS Happy New Years Eve Party Hats Adjustable Hats Paper Cone Hat for Decorations New Years Eve Party Supplies
JUNEBRUSHS$9.934 rev
Trending
90-day click momentum
Tisancy 20 Pack Lights Cowboy Cowgirl Hat LED Flashing Light Up Hat for Western Bachelorette Party Wedding Bridal(Silver Trendy)
Tisancy$144.124.6★

Happy New Year Bucket Hat for Men Women Teens Packable New Year Theme Sun Hats Fisherman Hat Cap
Kicoyuaz$18.174.4★

JUNEBRUSHS 24PCS Happy New Years Eve Party Hats Adjustable Hats Paper Cone Hat for Decorations New Years Eve Party Supplies
JUNEBRUSHS$9.934.2★

3 Pack New Year Hat Fedora Hats New Years Hats New Year Eve Sequin Hat Gold Black Silver Happy New Year Hat for Adults Men and Women Christmas New Year Party Decorations
MAFENT$29.145.0★

Happy New Year Bucket Hat for Women Men Merry Christmas Fisherman Hats Outdoor Travel Beach Sun Caps Xmas New Year Decoration
KKRMTUG$14.044.6★
What buyers say about new years hats
What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.What buyers love
“this is an easy way to add fun to your party”
“The colors are very attractive”
“Good quality”
“It was a good value for the money”
“They look so classy, fun and elegant”
“It was easy to assemble”
“The noise makers are nice and loud”
“it was comfortable enough to wear for a while — not something you constantly adjust or take off after two minutes”
“Does the job”
“They are fun and bright”
What buyers complain about
“flimsy and difficult to put together”
“flimsy and difficult to put together”
“For adults, it would be nice if the hat size was a little bigger,”
“The noise makers sound loud”
“Hats not that good”
“I wish the material of the hat was different so it was more flexible to bend”
“I dont feel like these hats are a good value”
“cheap design”
“Not reusable long-term”
“Thin disposable materials”
Top return reasons
Common questions
- Is new years hats profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
- The niche generates $515K/yr across 11 tracked products. 0 of 5 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -54.8%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (45/100).
- How competitive is the new years hats niche?
- 10 brands and 12 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 68% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 74% of demand.
- What do buyers complain about in new years hats?
- Top complaints mined from reviews: Assembly/Installation, Strength, Size-Overall. The return rate is 4.8%.
- When does demand for new years hats peak?
- Demand peaks in Jan–Dec; the busiest month runs 558.2× the quietest.
- What does it cost to enter the new years hats niche?
- Listings span $8.05–$144.12; the average listing price is $30.65 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 48 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.