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my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl

Skip it

A small market ($53K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 13Growth 21Conversion 14Competition 74Returns 55Price range 70Avg price 83Brand share 90Review moat 90Quality gap 24

Brand share

Great45%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Review moat

Great202.46

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Avg price

Great$18.12

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Competition

Good41%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Price range

Good$4.96–$38.05

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Returns

Good2.8%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Bad4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Bad-8.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Conversion

Bad1.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$53K

$53K/yr · 268K searches

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl is a $53K/yr Amazon United States market (268K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 45% of demand. Demand peaks in Jan. Verdict: Skip it — 47/100.

Data updated Jul 23, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl market data

Units sold / yr
4K–5K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$72K–$91K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
1.1%
Avg BSR
#2,907
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
85%
Out of stock
4.3%
Avg brand age
20 months
Avg seller age
186 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 41% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

35 falling

Sellers

37

Top-5 brand share

45%

Top 20: 88%

Top-5 click share

41%

Top 20: 83%

Open market

50%

  • YJDFWAUT11%
  • cocomigo11%
  • Kudapity9%
  • Costova8%
  • Fexivo6%
  • UIBOVA6%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -8.1% search growth over the last 90 days.
9K7KSpike '25Prime Day '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.6×

Top my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl search terms

  • my first rodeo decorations girl134K/yr
  • first rodeo birthday decorations girl79K/yr
  • 1st rodeo birthday party decor girl24K/yr
  • my 1st rodeo birthday decorations girl9K/yr
  • my first rodeo girl8K/yr
  • wildest one in the west birthday girl8K/yr
  • rodeo birthday decorations girl6K/yr
All search terms

Top my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$2K6%$3K9%$5K12%$6K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)1 product missing review or click data not plotted

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall23%

“Good Quality”

Advertised Vs Actual Product18%

“Exactly as pictured”

Value For Money14%

“Worth it”

Color7%

“The colors are super cute”

Size-Overall5%

“Perfect fit”

Design-Overall5%

“Really cute design”

Assembly/Installation5%

“Easy assembly”

Brightness/Shine/Glow3%

“Cute girly birthday candle”

Fun/Entertainment Experience2%

“Fun decor”

Ease Of Use2%

“easy to use”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall22%

“The balloons were not true to size so we could not make the balloon arch”

Quality-Overall11%

“The quality of the balloons was very disappointing”

Thickness11%

“I was looking for some more thicker”

Assembly/Installation7%

“Lot of work to assemble”

Inflation/Deflation5%

“latex balloons deflated fast”

Smell4%

“Strong smell of gasoline when I opened the bag”

Ease Of Cleaning4%

“Everything else was a mess to deal with”

Ease Of Use4%

“Not user friendly”

Advertised Vs Actual Product4%

“There was definitely not enough balloons to make the same arch as the picture shown”

Print Quality2%

“the print is unbeatable”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall36%
Color15%
Value For Money12%
Material Quality6%
Advertised Vs Actual Product6%
Quality-Overall4%
Thin4%
Length2%
Display Colors2%
Defective Material/Parts2%

Common questions

Is my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $53K/yr across 39 tracked products. 3 of 10 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -8.1%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (47/100).
How competitive is the my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl niche?
35 brands and 37 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 41% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 45% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Quality-Overall, Thickness. The return rate is 2.8%.
When does demand for my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl peak?
Demand peaks in Jan; the busiest month runs 2.6× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the my first rodeo birthday party supplies girl niche?
Listings span $4.96–$38.05; the average listing price is $18.12 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 202 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.