Is graduation balloons profitable to sell on Amazon United States?

The niche generates $252K/yr across 116 tracked products. 5 of 48 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +628.8%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (67/100).

How competitive is the graduation balloons niche?

75 brands and 92 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 23% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 33% of demand.

What do buyers complain about in graduation balloons?

Top complaints mined from reviews: Inflation/Deflation, Quality-Overall, Size-Overall. The return rate is 3.0%.

When does demand for graduation balloons peak?

Demand peaks in May–Jun; the busiest month runs 57.6× the quietest.

What does it cost to enter the graduation balloons niche?

Listings span $4.34–$20.06; the average listing price is $9.18 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 742 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.

graduation balloons

Worth a look

Shows demand growing +628.8% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Growth

Incredible+628.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Incredible33%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Competition

Great23%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Review moat

Good742.16

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Returns

Good3.0%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Market size

Okay$252K

$252K/yr · 936K searches

Conversion

Okay2.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Price range

Okay$4.34–$20.06

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Okay$9.18

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, graduation balloons is a $252K/yr Amazon United States market (936K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 33% of demand. Demand peaks in May–Jun. Verdict: Worth a look — 67/100.

Data updated Jul 10, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

Market data

Units sold / yr: 30K–40K; avg 250–500/product
Revenue / yr: $275K–$367K; units × avg price
Launch success: 10%; 5 of 48 new (360d)
Conversion rate: 2.9%
Avg BSR: #1,700
Page quality: 0%
Prime: 100%
Sponsored: 97%
Out of stock: 2.0%
Avg brand age: 25 months
Avg seller age: 170 days

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (23% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

75 falling

Sellers

Top-5 brand share

33%

Top 20: 68%

Top-5 click share

23%

Top 20: 48%

Open market

62%

KatchOn9%
OuMuaMua9%
KARLURE6%
Gatherfun5%
Amscan5%
Lukedons4%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +628.8% search growth over the last 90 days.

Peak months: May, Jun · busiest ÷ quietest = 57.6×

Open Trend

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 116 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Top sellers

by 90-day click share

KARLURE Black Gold Balloons Arch Kit Garland Black Gold Party Decorations for Birthday Men Retirement Summer Halloween Christmas Prom Masquerade 50th Anniversary Party Decorations

KARLURE$12.624.6★2,018 rev

75 Pack Graduation Party Decorations Balloons Set - 12 Inch Black Gold Balloons with Balloon Ribbons for Graduation Party Decoration Supplies

OuMuaMua$6.074.6★2,244 rev

amscan Black Grad Cap Mylar Party Foil Balloon 31 Multicolor

Amscan$7.994.8★118 rev

2Pcs Graduation Cap Balloons Large Standing Graduation Party Decoration Balloons Black Gold Congrats Grad Foil Balloon for Class of 2026 Celebration Supplies

Lukedons$9.844.3★28 rev

7 Pcs Graduation Party Decorations Balloons Set Graduation Bear Balloon Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for Class of 2026 Party Decorations

Villorem$9.834.2★17 rev

Newest

by launch date

16 Pcs Graduation Decorations 2026 Balloons Kit 32 Inch 2026 Number Foil Balloon Black Gold White Congrats Grad Party Decor Supplies for Prom Class School College Graduate Congratulations

WOWBigDay$9.4020 rev

2mo ago

42pcs Graduation Balloons Class of 2026 Grad Latex Confetti Balloons with Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for College High School Graduation Party Decorations Supplies (Rose Gold)

GuassLee$6.2122 rev

3mo ago

Graduation Party Decorations 2026 Graduation Balloons - 13Pcs Black Gold Graduation Foil Balloons Class of 2026 with Ribbons - Grad Mylar Balloons for Grad Decorations Supplies College High School

POJOOY$8.7632 rev

3mo ago

7 Pcs Graduation Party Decorations Balloons Set Graduation Bear Balloon Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for Class of 2026 Party Decorations

Villorem$9.8317 rev

3mo ago

6 Pcs Graduation Balloons Class of 2026 Gold Congrats Grad Cap Balloons Grad Star Foil Balloon for College High School Grad Party

Villorem$6.874 rev

3mo ago

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall19%

“Amazing quality”

Value For Money10%

“Not expensive”

Color9%

“The color was beautiful”

Inflation/Deflation7%

“They inflate easily”

Ease Of Use7%

“Easy To Use”

Size-Overall7%

“Great size”

Advertised Vs Actual Product6%

“As described”

Design-Overall5%

“Cute designs”

Durability5%

“Includes durable string for hanging”

Assembly/Installation4%

“Easy to put up”

What buyers complain about

Inflation/Deflation17%

“Deflated”

Quality-Overall12%

“the quality and durability were inconsistent and disappointing”

Size-Overall9%

“Extremely small”

Heating6%

“Overheats easily”

Durability5%

“Broke after 2 uses”

Value For Money4%

“I do wish it was a little bit cheaper”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Not as pictured”

Noise Level3%

“Its noisy,”

Functionality-Overall3%

“Did not work”

Smell2%

“STRONG odor”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall22%

Value For Money18%

Functionality-Overall10%

Color9%

Inflation/Deflation8%

Heating7%

Advertised Vs Actual Product5%

Defective Material/Parts4%

Quality-Overall3%

Noise Level3%

Common questions

Is graduation balloons profitable to sell on Amazon United States?: The niche generates $252K/yr across 116 tracked products. 5 of 48 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +628.8%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (67/100).
How competitive is the graduation balloons niche?: 75 brands and 92 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 23% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 33% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in graduation balloons?: Top complaints mined from reviews: Inflation/Deflation, Quality-Overall, Size-Overall. The return rate is 3.0%.
When does demand for graduation balloons peak?: Demand peaks in May–Jun; the busiest month runs 57.6× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the graduation balloons niche?: Listings span $4.34–$20.06; the average listing price is $9.18 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 742 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.

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graduation balloons

Market data

Competition

Demand & seasonality

Product shelf

Top sellers

Newest

Trending

Reviews

What buyers love

What buyers complain about

Top return reasons

Common questions

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