Is fall tree profitable to sell on Amazon United States?

The niche generates $205K/yr across 38 tracked products. 0 of 5 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +385.8%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (58/100).

How competitive is the fall tree niche?

22 brands and 37 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 43% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 70% of demand.

What do buyers complain about in fall tree?

Top complaints mined from reviews: Quality-Overall, Advertised Vs Actual Product, Assembly/Installation. The return rate is 4.9%.

When does demand for fall tree peak?

Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct–Nov; the busiest month runs 53.2× the quietest.

What does it cost to enter the fall tree niche?

Listings span $11.54–$122.12; the average listing price is $51.51 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 741 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.

fall tree

Worth a look

Shows demand growing +385.8% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Growth

Incredible+385.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Avg price

Great$51.51

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$11.54–$122.12

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Good43%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Review moat

Good741.42

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Good70%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Okay$205K

$205K/yr · 337K searches

Returns

Okay4.9%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Conversion

Bad1.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, fall tree is a $205K/yr Amazon United States market (337K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 70% of demand. Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct–Nov. Verdict: Worth a look — 58/100.

Data updated Jul 31, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

fall tree market data

Units sold / yr: 6K–8K; avg 100–250/product
Revenue / yr: $309K–$412K; units × avg price
Conversion rate: 1.2%
Avg BSR: #1,747
Page quality: 0%
Prime: 92%
Sponsored: 95%
Out of stock: 21.8%
Avg brand age: 27 months
Avg seller age: 192 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 43% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

22 flat

Sellers

Top-5 brand share

70%

Top 20: 98%

Top-5 click share

43%

Top 20: 80%

Open market

26%

TURNMEON24%
LIGHTSHARE23%
QIAOKAIYAN9%
Nearly Natural7%
SPIRIT STAR CHRISTMAS CENTER6%
ZKIODV4%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +385.8% search growth over the last 90 days.

Peak months: Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov · busiest ÷ quietest = 53.2×

Open Trend

Top fall tree search terms

fall tree103K/yr +758.2%0.4% conv.
fall trees with lights38K/yr +875.9%0.8% conv.
fall trees29K/yr +286.6%0.4% conv.
fall light up tree17K/yr +548.9%0.5% conv.
fall tree decor38K/yr +226.3%0.0% conv.
autumn tree13K/yr +203.2%0.4% conv.
lighted maple tree7K/yr +812.4%0.9% conv.
artificial maple tree6K/yr +47.0%0.2% conv.
light up fall tree8K/yr >1,000%0.7% conv.
fall tree with lights7K/yr +249.2%0.4% conv.

All search terms

Top fall tree products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Top sellers

by 90-day click share

LIGHTSHARE 6FT 120LED Artificial Lighted Maple Tree Warm White Fall Decorations Indoor Ourdoor Orange

LIGHTSHARE$51.924.7★3,892 rev

QIAOKAIYAN 5FT Artificial Lighted Maple Tree with 96 LED & 192 Ultra-Dense Maple Leaves - Fall Decorations Maple Tree with Warm White Light for Home Thanksgiving Autumn Harvest Decor Indoor Outdoor

QIAOKAIYAN$38.504.2★96 rev

Remote Control&Timer - 6 Ft Lighted Prelit Fall Maple Tree 135 LED

TURNMEON$51.064.3★575 rev

LIGHTSHARE 5FT 96LED Artificial Lighted Maple Tree Warm White Halloween Fall Decorations Indoor Ourdoor Orange

LIGHTSHARE$49.954.7★3,892 rev

5 FT Fall Tree Fall Decor Pop Up Tinsel Maples Tree with 50 Warm White Lights Orange Pumpkins Battery Operated Lighted Halloween Tree Fall Decorations for Home Harvest Thanksgiving Party Indoor

TURNMEON$30.574.5★53 rev

Newest

by launch date

ZKIODV 6FT Artificial Red Oak Tree in Weighted Pot Real Touch Large Fake Fall Autumn Oak Plant for Living Room Corner Tall Potted Silk Tree for Home Office Daily Floor Decor

ZKIODV$89.186 rev

2mo ago

Artificial Eucalyptus Tree for Fall Decor Fall Tree with Realistic Eucalyptus Leaves Faux Eucalyptus Tree for Room Design Realistic Fall Plant for Fall Indoor & Outdoor Decor - 6FT

Kzztkz$56.3111 rev

3mo ago

EAMBRITE Fall Decorations for Home Fall Maple Tree Fall Decor Fall Trees

EAMBRITE$16.955,878 rev

4mo ago

QIAOKAIYAN 5FT Artificial Lighted Maple Tree with 96 LED & 192 Ultra-Dense Maple Leaves - Fall Decorations Maple Tree with Warm White Light for Home Thanksgiving Autumn Harvest Decor Indoor Outdoor

QIAOKAIYAN$38.5096 rev

1y ago

Luiywan Artificial Olive Tree Fall Tree for Outdoor Indoor Porch Entryway Orange Potted Fake Tall Plants Autumn Decoration for Home Office Party Thanksgiving Halloween 6ft

Luiywan$62.3665 rev

1y ago

What buyers say about fall tree

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Brightness/Shine/Glow15%

“lights up beautifully”

Quality-Overall14%

“Totally beautiful piece”

Assembly/Installation9%

“easy to assemble”

Value For Money9%

“Worth the money”

Color8%

“Colors are great and looks real”

Size-Overall6%

“The size was perfect”

Gifting Purpose5%

“Excellent present for the fall; however, try to buy it when its on sale”

Design-Overall5%

“Solid construction throughout”

Wood Quality4%

“Maple Tree perfection”

Strength3%

“Solid construction throughout”

What buyers complain about

Quality-Overall21%

“Poor quality”

Advertised Vs Actual Product7%

“I did not recall reading it in the description when I purchased this”

Assembly/Installation6%

“Need to assemble and looks cheap”

Size-Overall6%

“I did have a few that would not fit”

Alarm/Timer Accuracy6%

“No timer”

Value For Money5%

“it looks much more expensive than I expected”

Durability3%

“broke right away”

Charging3%

“These Maple Trees do not have any way to charge them by usb so I have removed one star from this review for this feature lacking”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“the whole branch does not light up”

Instructions/User Manual/Troubleshooting2%

“No instructions on the lighting”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall17%

Color16%

Value For Money14%

Advertised Vs Actual Product12%

Defective Material/Parts5%

Quality-Overall5%

Functionality-Overall5%

Strength5%

Display Colors4%

Brightness/Shine/Glow3%

Common questions

Is fall tree profitable to sell on Amazon United States?: The niche generates $205K/yr across 38 tracked products. 0 of 5 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +385.8%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (58/100).
How competitive is the fall tree niche?: 22 brands and 37 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 43% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 70% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in fall tree?: Top complaints mined from reviews: Quality-Overall, Advertised Vs Actual Product, Assembly/Installation. The return rate is 4.9%.
When does demand for fall tree peak?: Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct–Nov; the busiest month runs 53.2× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the fall tree niche?: Listings span $11.54–$122.12; the average listing price is $51.51 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 741 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.