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cinnamon wax melts

Skip it

A small market ($23K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 6Growth 16Conversion 62Competition 29Returns 96Price range 55Avg price 51Brand share 27Review moat 69Quality gap 81

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Great4.2★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Good745.27

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Good5.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Price range

Good$5.72–$26.32

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Good$12.12

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Competition

Okay68%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay89%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Growth

Bad-18.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$23K

$23K/yr · 36K searches

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, cinnamon wax melts is a $23K/yr Amazon United States market (36K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 89% of demand. Demand peaks in Sep–Oct–Nov–Dec. Verdict: Skip it — 43/100.

Data updated Aug 2, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

cinnamon wax melts market data

Units sold / yr
3K–4K
avg 100–250/product
Revenue / yr
$36K–$48K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
5.4%
Avg BSR
#366
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
67%
Out of stock
11.7%
Avg brand age
76 months
Avg seller age
153 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 68% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

8 flat

Sellers

33

Top-5 brand share

89%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

68%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

6%

  • Scentsationals46%
  • Shortie's Candle Company18%
  • TRUMIRI10%
  • SCENTORINI9%
  • Yankee Candle6%
  • Candle Warmers5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (2 brands, 6%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -18.7% search growth over the last 90 days.
2K2KSpike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Holiday '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 6.1×

Top cinnamon wax melts search terms

  • cinnamon wax melts24K/yr
  • wax melts cinnamon6K/yr
  • cinnamon wax melts strong6K/yr
All search terms

Top cinnamon wax melts products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$2K20%$5K30%$7K40%$9K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 15 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about cinnamon wax melts

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell76%

“Awesome aroma”

Value For Money4%

“Great value”

Quality-Overall4%

“Great product”

Durability3%

“long lasting”

Advertised Vs Actual Product1%

“Great product as described”

Efficiency1%

“Works great”

Heating1%

“Blazing hot”

Warmth1%

“Warm Long-Lasting Fragrance”

Strength1%

“ok potency”

What buyers complain about

Smell64%

“No scent”

Value For Money7%

“Waste of money”

Durability5%

“it doesn't last”

Strength5%

“Way too strong”

Size-Overall2%

“These are smaller than normal”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“Misrepresented”

Natural Resource Wastage1%

“Waste”

Moist/Dry1%

“Old and dry”

Product Condition1%

“Dry and old, crackled in the box”

Stain Resistance1%

“Color will stain”

Top return reasons

Smell82%
Advertised Vs Actual Product10%
Value For Money3%
Heating2%
Comfort-Overall1%
Strength1%
Quality-Overall1%
Weight Heavy1%
Functionality-Overall0%
Size-Overall0%

Common questions

Is cinnamon wax melts profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $23K/yr across 15 tracked products. 0 of 1 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -18.7%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (43/100).
How competitive is the cinnamon wax melts niche?
8 brands and 33 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 68% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 89% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in cinnamon wax melts?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Smell, Value For Money, Durability. The return rate is 0.7%.
When does demand for cinnamon wax melts peak?
Demand peaks in Sep–Oct–Nov–Dec; the busiest month runs 6.1× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the cinnamon wax melts niche?
Listings span $5.72–$26.32; the average listing price is $12.12 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 745 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.