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58

christmas wax melts

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.7%), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 38Growth 24Conversion 59Competition 85Returns 97Price range 46Avg price 75Brand share 32Review moat 58Quality gap 82

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Competition

Great30%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Quality gap

Great4.2★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Avg price

Great$14.98

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Conversion

Good5.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Review moat

Good1,197.27

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Okay$6.31–$22.51

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Market size

Okay$188K

$188K/yr · 248K searches

Brand share

Okay86%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Growth

Bad-1.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, christmas wax melts is a $188K/yr Amazon United States market (248K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 86% of demand. Demand peaks in Nov–Dec. Verdict: Worth a look — 58/100.

Data updated Aug 2, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

christmas wax melts market data

Units sold / yr
13K–15K
avg 100–250/product
Revenue / yr
$187K–$225K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
5.1%
Avg BSR
#631
Page quality
0%
Prime
98%
Sponsored
76%
Out of stock
20.4%
Avg brand age
64 months
Avg seller age
120 days

Competition & brand share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (30% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

14 falling

Sellers

23

Top-5 brand share

86%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

30%

Top 20: 65%

Open market

11%

  • Shortie's Candle Company49%
  • Farm Raised Candles21%
  • SoulOrigin8%
  • Scentsationals4%
  • Coo Candles4%
  • WUSEONY3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (8 brands, 11%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -1.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
30K20KHoliday '24Spike '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 49.7×

Top christmas wax melts search terms

  • shorties wax melts17K/yr
  • farm raised wax melts11K/yr
  • christmas wax melts100K/yr
  • formula 117 wax melts4K/yr
  • holiday wax melts17K/yr
  • wax melts christmas scents27K/yr
  • farm raised candles2K/yr
  • christmas scented wax melts15K/yr
  • winter wax melts16K/yr
  • wax melts christmas9K/yr
All search terms

Top christmas wax melts products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$6K6%$11K9%$17K12%$23K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about christmas wax melts

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell72%

“Amazing Smell”

Quality-Overall6%

“The variety I went with is great for this time of year”

Value For Money4%

“Great value”

Durability3%

“it lasts all day”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“Product exactly as described”

Strength1%

“Very strong”

Soft Feel1%

“The wax is fairly soft”

Ease Of Use1%

“Easy to use”

Ease Of Cleaning1%

“Clean”

Design-Overall0%

“Beautiful accent to the room”

What buyers complain about

Smell62%

“No Smell”

Durability7%

“only last 20-30 min”

Value For Money6%

“A little expensive”

Strength5%

“Some of these are too strong”

Size-Overall1%

“Even though the cubes are extra large”

Quality-Overall1%

“Low quality wax melts”

Heating1%

“they also didnt melt well like the ones I normally buy from target”

Pest/Insect Control1%

“Did not keep mosquitoes away”

Functionality-Overall1%

“otherwise do not function as intended”

Allergies1%

“I have such awful reactions to the bites to the point where I had to get steroid cream”

Top return reasons

Smell78%
Advertised Vs Actual Product7%
Functionality-Overall4%
Value For Money3%
Size-Overall2%
Heating1%
Defective Material/Parts1%
Pest/Insect Control1%
Quality-Overall1%
Durability0%

Common questions

Is christmas wax melts profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $188K/yr across 62 tracked products. 0 of 5 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -1.8%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (58/100).
How competitive is the christmas wax melts niche?
14 brands and 23 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 30% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 86% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in christmas wax melts?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Smell, Durability, Value For Money. The return rate is 0.7%.
When does demand for christmas wax melts peak?
Demand peaks in Nov–Dec; the busiest month runs 49.7× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the christmas wax melts niche?
Listings span $6.31–$22.51; the average listing price is $14.98 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 1,197 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.