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40

black birthday candles

Skip it

Prices mostly outside the sweet spot ($5.05–$12.70) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 26Growth 17Conversion 90Competition 42Returns 87Price range 0Avg price 19Brand share 36Review moat 66Quality gap 16

Conversion

Great10.8%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Returns

Great1.4%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Good840.41

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Okay60%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay83%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Market size

Okay$108K

$108K/yr · 149K searches

Avg price

Bad$6.75

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Growth

Bad-16.6%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Bad4.8★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Price range

Bad$5.05–$12.70

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, black birthday candles is a $108K/yr Amazon United States market (149K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 83% of demand. Demand peaks in Oct. Verdict: Skip it — 40/100.

Data updated Jul 31, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

black birthday candles market data

Units sold / yr
13K–15K
avg 500–750/product
Revenue / yr
$84K–$101K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
10.8%
Avg BSR
#291
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
88%
Out of stock
2.6%
Avg brand age
34 months
Avg seller age
190 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 60% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

11 falling

Sellers

11

Top-5 brand share

83%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

60%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

13%

  • PHD CAKE50%
  • CAKE CODE12%
  • Bakery Crafts9%
  • ARTISAN CAKE8%
  • Bella Meri4%
  • BEAN LIEVE4%
  • Open — no brand owns it (5 brands, 13%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 102 weeks — -16.6% search growth over the last 90 days.
4K3KSpike '24Spike '25Spike '26DecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.8×

Top black birthday candles search terms

  • black birthday candles78K/yr
  • black candles for cake21K/yr
  • black cake candles12K/yr
  • black candles birthday12K/yr
  • birthday candles black8K/yr
  • black birthday candle5K/yr
  • black and white birthday candles5K/yr
  • black birthday candles for cake4K/yr
  • black candles cake3K/yr
All search terms

Top black birthday candles products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$11K20%$22K30%$32K40%$43K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 17 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about black birthday candles

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Brightness/Shine/Glow27%

“The sparkle effect is subtle”

Quality-Overall14%

“High quality candles in vibrant colors”

Value For Money8%

“worth it”

Advertised Vs Actual Product7%

“It's actually nicer than expected”

Color7%

“Love the colors”

Size-Overall5%

“Nice size”

Ease Of Use4%

“Its really useful”

Design-Overall3%

“I loved the designs”

Durability3%

“I have used for birthdays and graduations, so very versatile and durable”

Baking3%

“Great for cake de decoration”

What buyers complain about

Quality-Overall25%

“Poor quality control and service”

Color17%

“These are NOT black candles”

Thickness8%

“Some of the toppers feel quite thin and flexible, which made them harder to position securely without bending”

Size-Overall6%

“These are very tall”

Durability6%

“broke half of them”

Smell3%

“scent are unknown at the time”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall36%
Value For Money21%
Advertised Vs Actual Product17%
Color10%
Shape/Style3%
Brightness/Shine/Glow2%
Smell2%
Thin1%
Strength1%
Color Fading/Discoloration1%

Common questions

Is black birthday candles profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $108K/yr across 17 tracked products. 0 of 3 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -16.6%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (40/100).
How competitive is the black birthday candles niche?
11 brands and 11 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 60% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 83% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in black birthday candles?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Quality-Overall, Color, Thickness. The return rate is 1.4%.
When does demand for black birthday candles peak?
Demand peaks in Oct; the busiest month runs 1.8× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the black birthday candles niche?
Listings span $5.05–$12.70; the average listing price is $6.75 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 840 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.