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Birthday Hat

Maybe

The top 5 brands take only 35% of clicks. But demand is soft, at -1.8% this quarter, so Birthday Hat is a Maybe.

Flapen Score
62
62 / 100
Top 7% of 11,240 Home & Kitchen niches · +13 vs the category median of 49
Market size
$684K/yr1.4M searches / yr
90-day growth
-1.8%search demand this quarter
Competition
26%top-5 click share · 64 brands · 82 sellers

Flapen Score

Birthday Hat against its category

The dotted line is the Home & Kitchen average. Past it, Birthday Hat is stronger. Inside it, weaker.

62Maybe
Big MarketTrendingHigh ConversionOpen MarketLow ReturnsPrice rangeAvg priceNo Dominant BrandLow Review BarrierQuality Gap
This niche Category average

Market

The Birthday Hat market on Amazon at a glance

Shoppers on Amazon United States searched for Birthday Hat 1.4M times last year and spent an estimated $684K. The top 5 brands take 35% of clicks. Flapen scores it 62 out of 100, a Maybe.

01 · Demand

An estimated 3.9% of those searches ended in a purchase.

Shoppers searched for this 1.4M times in the last 12 months. That counts every search on Amazon United States for this niche's terms. An estimated 3.9% of those searches ended in a purchase. Searches in the last 90 days moved -1.8% against the 90 days before. Searches, conversion and average price together put the market at an estimated $684K a year.

Searches, last 12 months
1.4M
Growth, 90 days vs prior 90
-1.8%
Conversion, latest week
3.9%
Market size, estimated
$684Ka year
Peak month
January1.7× the quietest month
Top search term
birthday hats352K searches a year

02 · Price

A sale here is worth $12.79.

Listings sell for $12.79 on average, from $4.57 to $25.58. Amazon reports units sold in ranges. This niche sold 50K to 60K a year. The average listing sells 750 to 1,000 of them. At $12.79 that is $10K to $13K a year per listing.

Average price
$12.79under the $15 to $100 sweet spot
Price range
$4.57–$25.58
Amazon United States median price
$24.38across 115,062 niches
Units sold a year
50K–60K
Units per listing a year
750–1,000
Revenue per listing a year
$10K–$13K
Returns
3.6%of orders · Amazon United States median 2.1%

03 · Entry bar

The bar here is ads.

99% of listings pay for placement with sponsored ads. 99% ship with Prime. On an average day, 1.9% of listings are out of stock. The average listing ranks #3,991 within Headwear. It carries 457 reviews at 4.35 stars, so a new listing needs social proof before a better product.

Sponsored listings
99%
Prime listings
99%
Out of stock, average day
1.9%
Average rank
#3,991in Headwear
Average rating
4.35 starsAmazon United States average 4.42 stars
Average reviews
457per listing
Listings tracked
83

04 · Newcomers

8 of last year's 18 launches cleared the first-year sales bar.

18 products launched here in the last 12 months. 8 of them cleared the first-year sales bar, our mark for a successful launch. The brands on the shelf have sold for 31 months on average, so a newcomer is not facing entrenched names.

Launched, last 12 months
18
Successful launches
8Amazon's first-year sales bar
Average brand age
31 months

Products

Top Birthday Hat products & what they sell for

Every tracked product: its share of the shelf, its reviews, and its price.

Sign in to see the products

The products selling in this niche are for signed-in readers. Every market figure above stays open to everyone.

Competition

Competition: brands, sellers & click share

The top 5 products take only 26% of clicks. An open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

64 rising

Sellers

82

Top-5 brand share

35%

Top 20: 72%

Top-5 click share

26%

Top 20: 58%

Open market

61%

  • Brand 111%
  • Brand 28%
  • Brand 36%
  • Brand 45%
  • Brand 55%
  • Brand 64%

Demand

Birthday Hat search demand

Weekly searches over the year, seasonality beneath. Pick a range.

30K20KSpike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

No pronounced peak months · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.7×

Search terms

Top Birthday Hat search terms shoppers use

The exact words shoppers type, with yearly volume, growth, and conversion.

  • birthday hats352K/yr
  • birthday hat316K/yr
  • birthday party hats156K/yr
  • birthday hats adults135K/yr
  • birthday hats for kids125K/yr
  • happy birthday hat44K/yr
  • gorros de cumpleaos34K/yr
  • birthday girl hat26K/yr
  • its my birthday hat23K/yr
  • birthday party hat26K/yr

Reviews and returns

What reviews say buyers love and hate about Birthday Hat

We read the reviews and the return reasons for every product selling here.

18%of positive reviews mention “Quality-Overall”
26%of negative reviews mention “Assembly/Installation”
3.6%of orders come back
“Difficult to assemble”
A buyer, on “Assembly/Installation”26% of negative reviews mention the same topic

Every topic

Every topic buyers talk about, one row each.

Red shows the share of negative reviews and green the share of positive reviews, biggest topic first. Open a row to read what they wrote.

17 topics

NegativePositive

FAQ

Common Birthday Hat questions

Answered from the same tracked data.