Skip to content
45

sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas

Skip it

A small market ($27K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 7Growth 72Conversion 86Competition 44Returns 25Price range 23Avg price 24Brand share 42Review moat 42Quality gap 65

Conversion

Great9.8%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Good+55.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Okay59%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay80%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Review moat

Okay2,343.57

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Returns

Bad5.1%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Bad$8.53

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Bad$5.68–$17.77

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Market size

Bad$27K

$27K/yr · 33K searches

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas is a $27K/yr Amazon United States market (33K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 80% of demand. Demand peaks in Sep–Oct–Nov. Verdict: Skip it — 45/100.

Data updated Jul 14, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas market data

Units sold / yr
3K–4K
avg 100–250/product
Revenue / yr
$26K–$34K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
9.8%
Avg BSR
#65
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
100%
Out of stock
2.6%
Avg brand age
55 months
Avg seller age
196 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 59% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

12 rising

Sellers

21

Top-5 brand share

80%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

59%

Top 20: 99%

Open market

13%

  • MEICOLY25%
  • YBUETE19%
  • BADCOLOR13%
  • BOBISUKA13%
  • Mehron10%
  • Go Ho7%
  • Open — no brand owns it (6 brands, 13%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +55.7% search growth over the last 90 days.
5K3KSpike '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Sep, Oct, Nov · busiest ÷ quietest = 38.0×

Top sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$1K10%$3K15%$4K20%$5K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 21 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color30%

“The color was also accurate”

Ease Of Application9%

“The application of this product was easy”

Coverage7%

“more consistent coverage as well”

Value For Money6%

“BUT great and affordable for one time Halloween costumes”

Advertised Vs Actual Product4%

“As described”

Ease Of Use4%

“Easy to use”

Water Resistance4%

“Very water resistant”

Paint Quality3%

“The paint covered my whole body”

Suitability Combination Skin3%

“Good on dark skin”

Durability3%

“it lasted brilliantly”

What buyers complain about

Color26%

“It turned green on my face”

Allergies9%

“Caused a major acne break out afterwards”

Product Condition6%

“I just received this in the mail today and it came taped up and already used”

Functionality-Overall6%

“Barely works choose better”

Moist/Dry6%

“Clumpy and dried up”

Smell6%

“Smells terrible”

Strength3%

“Chunky, hard to blend”

Size-Overall3%

“little”

Stain Resistance3%

“Months later and its still stained in my car”

Smudge Resistance3%

“smeared a bit on my clothes even after letting it dry”

Top return reasons

Color51%
Paint Quality13%
Product Condition8%
Size-Overall7%
Advertised Vs Actual Product5%
Functionality-Overall4%
Coverage2%
Smell1%
Ease Of Use1%
Adhesion/Stickiness1%

Common questions

Is sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $27K/yr across 21 tracked products. 0 of 4 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +55.7%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (45/100).
How competitive is the sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas niche?
12 brands and 21 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 59% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 80% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Color, Allergies, Product Condition. The return rate is 5.1% — above our launch gate.
When does demand for sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas peak?
Demand peaks in Sep–Oct–Nov; the busiest month runs 38.0× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the sally makeup kit - the nightmare before christmas niche?
Listings span $5.68–$17.77; the average listing price is $8.53 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 2,344 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.