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61

chapstick

Worth a look

Shows a $16.1M/yr market, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 100Growth 14Conversion 77Competition 83Returns 98Price range 50Avg price 35Brand share 66Review moat 17Quality gap 23

Market size

Incredible$16.1M

$16.1M/yr · 21.0M searches

Returns

Incredible0.4%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Competition

Great32%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Conversion

Great7.6%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Good65%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Price range

Good$2.67–$27.11

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Okay$10.15

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Quality gap

Bad4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Bad18,078.9

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Growth

Bad-22.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, chapstick is a $16.1M/yr Amazon United States market (21.0M searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 65% of demand. Demand peaks in Nov–Dec. Verdict: Worth a look — 61/100.

Data updated Jul 24, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

chapstick market data

Units sold / yr
1.0M–1.0M
avg 15,000–20,000/product
Revenue / yr
$10.2M–$10.2M
units × avg price
Conversion rate
7.6%
Avg BSR
#69
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
79%
Out of stock
0.4%
Avg brand age
52 months
Avg seller age
124 days

Competition & brand share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (32% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

25 falling

Sellers

183

Top-5 brand share

65%

Top 20: 96%

Top-5 click share

32%

Top 20: 65%

Open market

31%

  • ChapStick29%
  • eos15%
  • Burt's Bees9%
  • Aquaphor8%
  • Vaseline4%
  • e.l.f.4%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -22.1% search growth over the last 90 days.
1.0M600KSpike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.5×

Top chapstick search terms

  • lip balm7.1M/yr
  • chapstick6.0M/yr
  • chapstick bulk1.3M/yr
  • tinted lip balm895K/yr
  • lip884K/yr
  • lip balm bulk765K/yr
  • chap stick688K/yr
  • lip balms & moisturizers620K/yr
  • lip moisturizer293K/yr
  • lip products271K/yr
All search terms

Top chapstick products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%4%$644K8%$1.3M12%$1.9M16%$2.6M1001K10K100K1.0M Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about chapstick

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Moist/Dry20%

“Super hydrating”

Quality-Overall11%

“Good product, just as described”

Soft Feel11%

“Goes on smooth”

Smell9%

“Delicious smell”

Value For Money8%

“Great Deal”

Color8%

“subtle color”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“As described”

Gifting Purpose2%

“Bought as a gift”

Durability2%

“It stays on and looks amazing”

Ease Of Application2%

“Easily applicable”

What buyers complain about

Moist/Dry16%

“Does not moisturize”

Smell8%

“Smells weird”

Value For Money7%

“Kind of expensive”

Color6%

“Terrible color”

Durability5%

“Broke”

Size-Overall4%

“HUGE”

Quality-Overall3%

“Low Quality”

Adhesion/Stickiness3%

“Not too sticky”

Allergies2%

“Irritating”

Texture/Consistency-Overall2%

“Texture is weird”

Top return reasons

Color27%
Advertised Vs Actual Product11%
Moist/Dry9%
Smell8%
Value For Money7%
Product Condition6%
Functionality-Overall5%
Size-Overall5%
Texture/Consistency-Overall4%
Adhesion/Stickiness3%

Common questions

Is chapstick profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $16.1M/yr across 52 tracked products. 6 of 6 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -22.1%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (61/100).
How competitive is the chapstick niche?
25 brands and 183 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 32% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 65% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in chapstick?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Moist/Dry, Smell, Value For Money. The return rate is 0.4%.
When does demand for chapstick peak?
Demand peaks in Nov–Dec; the busiest month runs 3.5× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the chapstick niche?
Listings span $2.67–$27.11; the average listing price is $10.15 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 18,079 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.