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43

affirm

Skip it

Brand-locked demand (top 5 brands take 94% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 30Growth 45Conversion 26Competition 22Returns 72Price range 95Avg price 95Brand share 16Review moat 80Quality gap 33

Avg price

Incredible$43.95

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Incredible$19.63–$69.86

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Great390.92

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Returns

Good2.1%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Growth

Okay+16.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Okay$133K

$133K/yr · 146K searches

Conversion

Okay2.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Bad74%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Brand share

Bad94%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, affirm is a $133K/yr Amazon United States market (146K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 94% of demand. Demand peaks in Aug. Verdict: Skip it — 43/100.

Data updated Jul 14, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

affirm market data

Units sold / yr
4K–5K
avg 250–500/product
Revenue / yr
$176K–$220K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
2.1%
Avg BSR
#138
Page quality
0%
Prime
92%
Sponsored
62%
Out of stock
0.5%
Avg brand age
73 months
Avg seller age
135 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products capture 74% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

7 rising

Sellers

20

Top-5 brand share

94%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

74%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

3%

  • Affirm43%
  • Avlon24%
  • Generic17%
  • Avalon7%
  • MFL MADE FOR LOCS4%
  • KeraCare4%
  • Open — no brand owns it (1 brand, 3%)

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +16.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
7K5KSpike '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Aug · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.9×

Top affirm search terms

  • affirm relaxer79K/yr
  • avlon affirm relaxer28K/yr
  • affirm relaxer sensitive scalp15K/yr
  • affirm relaxer kit7K/yr
  • affirm hair relaxer8K/yr
  • affirm fiberguard relaxer5K/yr
  • affirm sensitive scalp relaxer4K/yr
All search terms

Top affirm products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%15%$20K30%$40K45%$60K60%$80K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 13 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about affirm

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall32%

“Great Product”

Soft Feel17%

“immediately noticed her hair became very soft”

Efficiency16%

“Works well”

Value For Money8%

“which makes it economical as well”

Hair Styling5%

“Affirm Simple the BEST”

Durability5%

“Long lasting”

Ease Of Application4%

“easy application”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“El producto corresponde al de la foto.”

Suitability Colored Hair3%

“My hair came out beautiful”

Comfort-Overall1%

“this one left my scalp calm and comfortable”

What buyers complain about

Ease Of Use11%

“Very inconvenient”

Damage/Burn Hair11%

“my hair is breaking off everywhere”

Grip11%

“Doesnt stay on my head”

Material Quality11%

“Not a fan of the material”

Leak-Proof11%

“Product leaked everywhere”

Defective Material/Parts11%

“The item came damaged half the contents spilled out of the container”

Hair Related6%

“However, once she washed it, her hair started falling out”

Hard Feel6%

“normally its rough”

Allergies3%

“most products would irritate it”

Top return reasons

Advertised Vs Actual Product33%
Leak-Proof27%
Functionality-Overall6%
Damage/Burn Hair5%
Size-Overall5%
Value For Money4%
Defective Material/Parts3%
Product Condition3%
Moist/Dry3%
Ingredients-Overall2%

Common questions

Is affirm profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $133K/yr across 13 tracked products. 1 of 1 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +16.0%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (43/100).
How competitive is the affirm niche?
7 brands and 20 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 74% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 94% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in affirm?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Ease Of Use, Damage/Burn Hair, Grip. The return rate is 2.1%.
When does demand for affirm peak?
Demand peaks in Aug; the busiest month runs 1.9× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the affirm niche?
Listings span $19.63–$69.86; the average listing price is $43.95 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 391 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.