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Elf on the Shelf Notes

Fail

The top 5 products take 100% of clicks, so Elf on the Shelf Notes is a Fail.

Flapen Score
26
26 / 100
Ranks 3,069 of 3,143 Toys & Games niches · −20 vs the category median of 46
Market size
$16K/yr93K searches / yr
90-day growth
+5.2%search demand this quarter
Competition
100%top-5 click share · 2 brands · 9 sellers

Flapen Score

Elf on the Shelf Notes against its category

The dotted line is the Toys & Games average. Past it, Elf on the Shelf Notes is stronger. Inside it, weaker.

26Fail
Big MarketTrendingHigh ConversionOpen MarketLow ReturnsPrice rangeAvg priceNo Dominant BrandLow Review BarrierQuality Gap
This niche Category average

Market

The Elf on the Shelf Notes market on Amazon at a glance

Shoppers on Amazon United States searched for Elf on the Shelf Notes 93K times last year and spent an estimated $16K. All 2 brands take every click. Flapen scores it 26 out of 100, a Fail.

01 · Demand

An estimated 0.7% of those searches ended in a purchase.

Shoppers searched for this 93K times in the last 12 months. That counts every search on Amazon United States for this niche's terms. An estimated 0.7% of those searches ended in a purchase. Searches in the last 90 days moved +5.2% against the 90 days before. Searches, conversion and average price together put the market at an estimated $16K a year.

Searches, last 12 months
93K
Growth, 90 days vs prior 90
+5.2%
Conversion, latest week
0.7%
Market size, estimated
$16Ka year
Top search term
elf on the shelf letters to santa20K searches a year

02 · Price

A sale here is worth $25.50.

Listings sell for $25.50 on average, from $10.05 to $34.32. Amazon reports units sold in ranges. This niche sold 3K to 3K a year. The average listing sells 0 to 100 of them. At $25.50 that is $0 to $3K a year per listing.

Average price
$25.50inside the $15 to $100 sweet spot
Price range
$10.05–$34.32
Amazon United States median price
$24.38across 115,062 niches
Units sold a year
3K–3K
Units per listing a year
0–100
Revenue per listing a year
$0–$3K
Returns
2.4%of orders · Amazon United States median 2.1%

03 · Entry bar

The bar here is low.

0% of listings pay for placement with sponsored ads. 75% ship with Prime. On an average day, 47.1% of listings are out of stock. The average listing ranks #8,389 within Craft Kits. It carries 514 reviews at 4.83 stars, so a new listing needs social proof before a better product.

Sponsored listings
0%
Prime listings
75%
Out of stock, average day
47.1%
Average rank
#8,389in Craft Kits
Average rating
4.83 starsAmazon United States average 4.42 stars
Average reviews
514per listing
Listings tracked
4

04 · Newcomers

0 of last year's 1 launches cleared the first-year sales bar.

1 products launched here in the last 12 months. 0 of them cleared the first-year sales bar, our mark for a successful launch. The brands on the shelf have sold for 32 months on average, so a newcomer is not facing entrenched names.

Launched, last 12 months
1
Successful launches
0Amazon's first-year sales bar
Average brand age
32 months

Products

Top Elf on the Shelf Notes products & what they sell for

Every tracked product: its share of the shelf, its reviews, and its price.

Sign in to see the products

The products selling in this niche are for signed-in readers. Every market figure above stays open to everyone.

Competition

Competition: brands, sellers & click share

The top 5 products take 100% of clicks. A locked shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

2 falling

Sellers

9

Top-5 brand share

100%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

100%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

0%

  • Brand 181%
  • Brand 219%

Demand

Elf on the Shelf Notes search demand

Weekly searches over the year, seasonality beneath. Pick a range.

18K13KSpike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Holiday '25Spike '26AugSepOctNovDecJanAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarJun

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 151.3× · 11 of 12 months tracked

Search terms

Top Elf on the Shelf Notes search terms shoppers use

The exact words shoppers type, with yearly volume, growth, and conversion.

  • elf on the shelf letters to santa20K/yr
  • elf on shelf letters to santa refill4K/yr
  • elf on the shelf cards3K/yr
  • elf cards3K/yr
  • elf notes8K/yr
  • elf on the shelf notes9K/yr
  • elf on the shelf letter7K/yr
  • elf paper4K/yr
  • letters to santa elf on the shelf6K/yr
  • elf letters to santa3K/yr

Reviews and returns

What reviews say buyers love and hate about Elf on the Shelf Notes

We read the reviews and the return reasons for every product selling here.

100%of positive reviews mention “Fun/Entertainment Experience”
2.4%of orders come back
“Fun for everyone”
A buyer, on “Fun/Entertainment Experience”100% of positive reviews mention the same topic

Every topic

Every topic buyers talk about, one row each.

Red shows the share of negative reviews and green the share of positive reviews, biggest topic first. Open a row to read what they wrote.

1 topic

NegativePositive

FAQ

Common Elf on the Shelf Notes questions

Answered from the same tracked data.