thermostat
Worth a lookShows a $23.6M/yr market, but high returns (10.8%) keeps it on the watch list.
Market size
Incredible$23.6M$23.6M/yr · 8.2M searches
Competition
Great38%top-5 click share — an open shelf
Avg price
Good$103.28avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
Quality gap
Good4.3★avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
Brand share
Okay84%top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand
Price range
Okay$21.88–$241.68cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
Conversion
Okay2.8%search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
Review moat
Bad5,872.6avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
Growth
Bad-4.7%90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
Returns
Bad10.8%return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, thermostat is a $23.6M/yr Amazon United States market (8.2M searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 84% of demand. Demand peaks in Nov–Dec. Verdict: Worth a look — 51/100.
Data updated Jul 27, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches
thermostat market data
- Units sold / yr
- 250K–300K
- avg 4,000–5,000/product
- Revenue / yr
- $25.8M–$31.0M
- units × avg price
- Conversion rate
- 2.8%
- Avg BSR
- #21
- Page quality
- 0%
- Prime
- 100%
- Sponsored
- 87%
- Out of stock
- 1.1%
- Avg brand age
- 50 months
- Avg seller age
- 145 days
Competition & brand share
Clicks spread well past the top 5 (38% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.Brands
14 flat
Sellers
571
Top-5 brand share
84%
Top 20: 100%
Top-5 click share
38%
Top 20: 77%
Open market
13%
- Honeywell Home38%
- Google17%
- Sensi15%
- ecobee9%
- Riseem5%
- vine4%
- Open — no brand owns it (8 brands, 13%)
Demand & seasonality
Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -4.7% search growth over the last 90 days.Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.8×
Top thermostat search terms
- thermostat1.9M/yr
- smart thermostat1.3M/yr
- thermostat for house1.0M/yr
- honeywell thermostat835K/yr
- smart thermostats for home539K/yr
- thermostat for car509K/yr
- wifi thermostat341K/yr
- programmable thermostat201K/yr
- wifi thermostats for home198K/yr
- sensi thermostat155K/yr
Top thermostat products on Amazon
Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.
All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.
Top sellers
by 90-day click share
New! Honeywell Home Programmable Thermostat Single-Stage 1 Heat/1 Cool Compatibility 5-2 Day Schedule X2P White RTH20B
Honeywell Home$34.434.5★691 rev

Google Nest Thermostat - Smart Thermostat for Home - Programmable Wifi Thermostat - Charcoal
Google$92.774.2★29,169 rev

Sensi Smart Thermostat Wi-Fi DIY Alexa Energy Star Certified ST55
Sensi$83.854.4★22,863 rev

Honeywell Home RTH9585WF1004 Wi-Fi Smart Color Thermostat 7 Day Programmable Touch Screen Energy Star Alexa Ready Gray
Honeywell Home$112.444.3★19,982 rev

ecobee Smart Thermostat Essential - WiFi Thermostat Energy Star Certified
ecobee$117.454.2★1,661 rev
Newest
by launch date
Honeywell Home X7S Smart Programmable Wi-Fi Thermostat with Humidity Monitoring 4.3 Customizable Touchscreen Display Sensor Feature Energy Star - Works w/Alexa Matter Apple Google
Honeywell Home$174.2246 rev

vine Smart Thermostat for House WiFi Thermostats for Home Compatible with Alexa and Google Assistant 7day x 8period Programmable Energy Star Certified C-Wire Required
vine$58.88246 rev

New! Honeywell Home Programmable Thermostat Single-Stage 1 Heat/1 Cool Compatibility 5-2 Day Schedule X2P White RTH20B
Honeywell Home$34.43691 rev

ecobee Smart Thermostat Essential - WiFi Thermostat Energy Star Certified
ecobee$117.451,661 rev

meross Smart Thermostat for Home WiFi Thermostat Works with Matter Alexa Apple Home Google Assistant App & Voice Control 7x24h Scheduling Energy Saving C-Wire Required (Not Included)
meross$62.60887 rev
Trending
90-day click momentum
Honeywell Home X7S Smart Programmable Wi-Fi Thermostat with Humidity Monitoring 4.3 Customizable Touchscreen Display Sensor Feature Energy Star - Works w/Alexa Matter Apple Google
Honeywell Home$174.224.6★

Google Nest Thermostat - Smart Thermostat for Home - Programmable Wifi Thermostat - Fog
Google$98.694.2★

NonProgrammable Thermostat for Home Digital Energy-Saving Thermostat Single-Stage Systems 1 Heat/1 Cool Easy DIY Install White Backlight
Riseem$24.334.5★

NonProgrammable Thermostat for Home Digital Energy-Saving Thermostat Single-Stage Systems 1 Heat/1 Cool Easy DIY Install White Backlight
Miuputake$22.244.5★

Sensi Smart Thermostat Wi-Fi DIY Alexa Energy Star Certified ST55
Sensi$83.854.4★
What buyers say about thermostat
What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.What buyers love
“EASY install”
“Make Life Easy”
“fair price”
“The quality is solid”
“Works flawlessly”
“No connection issues”
“As advertised”
“Sleek Design”
“Remote Control Features Work Great”
“compatible with apple iphone”
What buyers complain about
“Difficult to connect”
“Poor functionality”
“Failed within 10 months”
“Poor quality control”
“Difficult to install”
“Could be better for the price”
“Not compatible”
“No directions”
“Not user friendly”
“Calibration problems”
Top return reasons
Common questions
- Is thermostat profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
- The niche generates $23.6M/yr across 45 tracked products. 6 of 6 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is -4.7%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (51/100).
- How competitive is the thermostat niche?
- 14 brands and 571 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 38% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 84% of demand.
- What do buyers complain about in thermostat?
- Top complaints mined from reviews: Connectivity-Overall, Functionality-Overall, Durability. The return rate is 10.8% — above our launch gate.
- When does demand for thermostat peak?
- Demand peaks in Nov–Dec; the busiest month runs 1.8× the quietest.
- What does it cost to enter the thermostat niche?
- Listings span $21.88–$241.68; the average listing price is $103.28 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 5,873 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.