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57

outside fall decor

Worth a look

Shows demand growing +425.1% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 6Growth 100Conversion 5Competition 61Returns 37Price range 81Avg price 85Brand share 87Review moat 67Quality gap 76

Growth

Incredible+425.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Great48%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Avg price

Great$19.08

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$8.13–$47.45

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Great4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Good814.43

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Good48%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Returns

Okay4.0%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Market size

Bad$23K

$23K/yr · 328K searches

Conversion

Bad0.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, outside fall decor is a $23K/yr Amazon United States market (328K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 48% of demand. Verdict: Worth a look — 57/100.

Data updated Jul 16, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

outside fall decor market data

Units sold / yr
4K–5K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$76K–$95K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
0.4%
Avg BSR
#3,602
Page quality
0%
Prime
100%
Sponsored
79%
Out of stock
19.2%
Avg brand age
27 months
Avg seller age
226 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 48% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

14 falling

Sellers

17

Top-5 brand share

48%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

48%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

45%

  • ZAUGONTW13%
  • YAOZHOU10%
  • Hananona10%
  • Geetery9%
  • TERESA'S COLLECTIONS7%
  • GPGHE7%

Demand

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 73 weeks — +425.1% search growth over the last 90 days.
45K35KSpike '24Spike '25Spike '26Jul '24Oct '24Jan '25Jun '25Aug '25Nov '25

Top outside fall decor search terms

  • fall yard decor132K/yr
  • fall garden decor26K/yr
  • fall yard decorations29K/yr
  • outside fall decorations8K/yr
  • outside fall porch decor7K/yr
  • outdoor fall decorations for yard13K/yr
  • fall lawn decorations5K/yr
  • fall front porch11K/yr
  • harvest decorations outdoor10K/yr
  • metal fall outdoor decor13K/yr
All search terms

Top outside fall decor products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%4%$9278%$2K12%$3K16%$4K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 14 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about outside fall decor

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall33%

“Doesnt look cheap”

Color23%

“They are very Brightly Colored”

Assembly/Installation9%

“Easy to assemble”

Durability8%

“It held up well”

Design-Overall6%

“It looks beautiful in my dining room”

Brightness/Shine/Glow6%

“Nice lights”

Weather Proof5%

“Hold up well in weather”

Ease Of Use4%

“Easy to use”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Exactly as pictured”

Shape/Style1%

“once you adjust the stems and petals, they look great”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall32%

“They look much larger in pictures”

Color13%

“Colors will fade fast”

Assembly/Installation13%

“Therefore as is the baskets can not be set up to use”

Durability13%

“And broke easily”

Quality-Overall10%

“Cheap”

Strength7%

“This is flimsy cardboard”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Deceiving”

Thickness3%

“The wiring was very thin”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall37%
Advertised Vs Actual Product20%
Quality-Overall16%
Color12%
Functionality-Overall5%
Smell2%
Material Quality2%
Ease Of Use1%
Value For Money1%
Brightness/Shine/Glow1%

Common questions

Is outside fall decor profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $23K/yr across 14 tracked products. 90-day search growth is +425.1%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (57/100).
How competitive is the outside fall decor niche?
14 brands and 17 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 48% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 48% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in outside fall decor?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Color, Assembly/Installation. The return rate is 4.0%.
What does it cost to enter the outside fall decor niche?
Listings span $8.13–$47.45; the average listing price is $19.08 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 814 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.