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56

outdoor pumpkin decor

Worth a look

Shows demand growing +365.7% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 3Growth 100Conversion 1Competition 62Returns 24Price range 90Avg price 95Brand share 81Review moat 90Quality gap 67

Growth

Incredible+365.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Avg price

Incredible$30.60

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Great203.23

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Great$10.01–$97.47

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Great54%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Good48%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Returns

Bad5.3%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Market size

Bad$12K

$12K/yr · 493K searches

Conversion

Bad0.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, outdoor pumpkin decor is a $12K/yr Amazon United States market (493K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 54% of demand. Demand peaks in Sep–Oct. Verdict: Worth a look — 56/100.

Data updated Jul 15, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

outdoor pumpkin decor market data

Units sold / yr
5K–6K
avg 0–100/product
Revenue / yr
$153K–$184K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
0.1%
Avg BSR
#952
Page quality
0%
Prime
82%
Sponsored
73%
Out of stock
30.5%
Avg brand age
28 months
Avg seller age
217 days

Competition & brand share

The top 5 products take 48% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

20 falling

Sellers

23

Top-5 brand share

54%

Top 20: 100%

Top-5 click share

48%

Top 20: 100%

Open market

40%

  • Fokuboo17%
  • ORIENTAL CHERRY13%
  • LocusArs12%
  • Lanpn7%
  • Artgar6%
  • Awinking6%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 86 weeks — +365.7% search growth over the last 90 days.
70K50KSpike '24Spike '25Spike '26AugSepOctNovDecJanJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMayJun

Peak months: Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 567.5×

Top outdoor pumpkin decor search terms

  • outdoor pumpkin decor87K/yr
  • pumpkin decor outdoor88K/yr
  • pumpkin outdoor decor48K/yr
  • pumpkin decorations outdoor51K/yr
  • porch pumpkins20K/yr
  • pumpkins for porch86K/yr
  • outdoor pumpkin32K/yr
  • outdoor pumpkin decorations33K/yr
  • large outdoor pumpkins20K/yr
  • pumpkin outdoor decorations8K/yr
All search terms

Top outdoor pumpkin decor products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$60310%$1K15%$2K20%$2K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 22 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about outdoor pumpkin decor

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall18%

“Really good quality”

Brightness/Shine/Glow15%

“glow nicely at night”

Assembly/Installation11%

“Easy to assemble”

Design-Overall8%

“all will look most magical”

Color8%

“Pretty”

Display-Overall5%

“it displays even better”

Weather Proof4%

“Hold up well in weather”

Durability3%

“They are durable”

Size-Overall3%

“The dimensions are provided and accurate,”

Material Quality3%

“Its made from durable resin, so its built to handle rain, frost, and sun, making it a lasting addition to your garden or doorstep”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall18%

“They look much larger in pictures”

Color18%

“toy-like color that looks quite unnatural in the daylight”

Durability12%

“will break if dropped”

Advertised Vs Actual Product7%

“Deceiving”

Assembly/Installation7%

“Therefore as is the baskets can not be set up to use”

Quality-Overall5%

“frankly, just looks cheap”

Charging2%

“the charge doesn't last all night”

Strength2%

“feels a bit fragile”

Design-Overall2%

“the aesthetics just missed the mark for me”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall32%
Color26%
Advertised Vs Actual Product13%
Functionality-Overall6%
Quality-Overall4%
Hard Feel3%
Smell3%
Brightness/Shine/Glow3%
Shape/Style3%
Material Quality3%

Common questions

Is outdoor pumpkin decor profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $12K/yr across 22 tracked products. 1 of 7 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +365.7%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (56/100).
How competitive is the outdoor pumpkin decor niche?
20 brands and 23 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 48% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 54% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in outdoor pumpkin decor?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Color, Durability. The return rate is 5.3% — above our launch gate.
When does demand for outdoor pumpkin decor peak?
Demand peaks in Sep–Oct; the busiest month runs 567.5× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the outdoor pumpkin decor niche?
Listings span $10.01–$97.47; the average listing price is $30.60 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 203 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.