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58

john deere key

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.5%), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 12Growth 56Conversion 76Competition 79Returns 98Price range 51Avg price 29Brand share 81Review moat 86Quality gap 24

Returns

Incredible0.5%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Great275.38

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Great54%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Competition

Great36%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Conversion

Great7.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Good+28.9%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Price range

Good$4.30–$26.17

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Okay$9.54

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Quality gap

Bad4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Bad$48K

$48K/yr · 68K searches

According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, john deere key is a $48K/yr Amazon United States market (68K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 54% of demand. Demand peaks in May. Verdict: Worth a look — 58/100.

Data updated Jul 9, 2026 · scored weekly · How we score niches

john deere key market data

Units sold / yr
6K–8K
avg 100–250/product
Revenue / yr
$57K–$76K
units × avg price
Conversion rate
7.3%
Avg BSR
#1,161
Page quality
0%
Prime
95%
Sponsored
97%
Out of stock
1.1%
Avg brand age
42 months
Avg seller age
182 days

Competition & brand share

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (36% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

23 rising

Sellers

45

Top-5 brand share

54%

Top 20: 98%

Top-5 click share

36%

Top 20: 86%

Open market

41%

  • gradora24%
  • Generic10%
  • JEENDA7%
  • Notonmek7%
  • John Deere7%
  • GoodFair5%

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +28.9% search growth over the last 90 days.
2K1KSpike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: May · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.8×

Top john deere key search terms

  • john deere key38K/yr
  • john deere keys10K/yr
  • john deere tractor key10K/yr
  • john deere replacement keys5K/yr
  • john deere replacement key2K/yr
  • john deer key3K/yr
All search terms

Top john deere key products on Amazon

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$1K6%$3K9%$4K12%$6K1101001K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

What buyers say about john deere key

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Size-Overall36%

“Easy fit”

Value For Money17%

“Excellent price”

Quality-Overall16%

“No complaints”

Advertised Vs Actual Product9%

“Works as intended”

Efficiency6%

“Works great”

Compatibility-Overall6%

“They are fairly universal and for compatibility”

Functionality-Overall3%

“The keys work as they should”

Ease Of Use3%

“easy to use”

Maintenance And Repair1%

“Heavy mechanic's best friend”

Correct Contents1%

“Perfect quantity”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall29%

“Does not fit”

Quality-Overall15%

“Little cheap”

Advertised Vs Actual Product13%

“Did not work as described”

Thickness11%

“they were way too thick to fit the ignition”

Functionality-Overall5%

“wouldnt start it”

Compatibility-Overall5%

“Red key does not work on John Deere 4430”

Value For Money5%

“wasre of money”

Durability5%

“They wont last long”

Grip3%

“They will slide in easier as they wear”

Rubber Quality3%

“The handles arent as rubbery”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall44%
Compatibility-Overall22%
Functionality-Overall15%
Advertised Vs Actual Product11%
Value For Money3%
Defective Material/Parts2%
Quality-Overall1%
Thickness1%
Shape/Style0%
Material Quality0%

Common questions

Is john deere key profitable to sell on Amazon United States?
The niche generates $48K/yr across 37 tracked products. 0 of 3 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +28.9%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (58/100).
How competitive is the john deere key niche?
23 brands and 45 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 36% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 54% of demand.
What do buyers complain about in john deere key?
Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Quality-Overall, Advertised Vs Actual Product. The return rate is 0.5%.
When does demand for john deere key peak?
Demand peaks in May; the busiest month runs 1.8× the quietest.
What does it cost to enter the john deere key niche?
Listings span $4.30–$26.17; the average listing price is $9.54 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 275 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.