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shut the box game 12 numbers

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A small market ($14K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 3Growth 13Conversion 48Competition 31Returns 71Price range 95Avg price 95Brand share 27Review moat 66Quality gap 25

Avg price

Incredible$24.68

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Incredible$15.58–$38.87

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Returns

Good2.2%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Good850.08

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Okay3.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Okay67%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay89%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Bad-23.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$14K

$14K/yr · 14K searches

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