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2017 football cards

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Soft demand (-38.8% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 13Growth 6Conversion 14Competition 47Returns 98Price range 9Avg price 40Brand share 16Review moat 96Quality gap 96

Returns

Incredible0.3%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Incredible3.9★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Incredible86.06

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Okay57%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Avg price

Okay$240.65

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Brand share

Bad94%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Conversion

Bad1.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$51K

$51K/yr · 19K searches

Price range

Bad$14.42–$984.90

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Growth

Bad-38.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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