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paper mache pumpkins

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A small market ($4K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 1Growth 98Conversion 5Competition 21Returns 23Price range 68Avg price 85Brand share 40Review moat 46Quality gap 60

Growth

Incredible+220.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Avg price

Great$18.82

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$9.72–$26.07

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Okay1,866

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Okay81%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Returns

Bad5.5%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Competition

Bad75%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Conversion

Bad0.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$4K

$4K/yr · 60K searches

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