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35

der wachsende kalender 2023

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Soft demand (-48.4% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 3Growth 1Conversion 48Competition 22Returns 95Price range 55Avg price 75Brand share 28Review moat 70Quality gap 45

Returns

Incredible0.9%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great€15.04

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Good708.08

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Good€6.67–€25.05

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Okay3.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Brand share

Okay88%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Competition

Bad74%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Market size

Bad€12K

€12K/yr · 21K searches

Growth

Bad-48.4%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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