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pokemon mystery box
Worth a lookShows low returns (0.3%), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.
Returns
Incredible0.3%return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
Avg price
Great$51.29avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
Quality gap
Great4.2★avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
Competition
Good41%top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse
Review moat
Good681.37avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
Market size
Good$667K$667K/yr · 802K searches
Price range
Good$5.58–$159.17cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
Growth
Okay+0.7%90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
Conversion
Bad1.6%search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
Brand share
Bad100%top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand
Signals High Price