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math toys

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A small market ($29K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 7Growth 14Conversion 25Competition 84Returns 79Price range 75Avg price 83Brand share 95Review moat 38Quality gap 28

Brand share

Incredible39%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Competition

Great31%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Great$18.13

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Returns

Great1.8%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Price range

Great$7.50–$37.12

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Okay2,669.26

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Okay2.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Bad-22.6%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$29K

$29K/yr · 80K searches

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