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37

Illinois Hat

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Soft demand (-66.2% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 10Growth 0Conversion 49Competition 58Returns 28Price range 95Avg price 95Brand share 32Review moat 91Quality gap 23

Avg price

Incredible$28.59

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Incredible$17.12–$43.64

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Great177.87

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Good50%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Conversion

Okay3.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay86%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Returns

Okay4.8%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Bad4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Bad$38K

$38K/yr · 34K searches

Growth

Bad-66.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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