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31

1984 birthday decorations

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A small market ($4K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 1Growth 16Conversion 72Competition 20Returns 53Price range 35Avg price 49Brand share 37Review moat 65Quality gap 18

Conversion

Good6.6%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Review moat

Good899.78

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Returns

Good2.9%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Okay$11.87

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Brand share

Okay83%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Price range

Okay$6.98–$19.37

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Bad76%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Bad-18.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$4K

$4K/yr · 5K searches

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