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46

Mainstays Candles

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Soft demand (-31.3% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 10Growth 9Conversion 29Competition 71Returns 97Price range 77Avg price 83Brand share 26Review moat 49Quality gap 67

Returns

Incredible0.6%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$18.14

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$6.25–$46.24

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Good42%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Okay1,602.26

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Okay2.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay90%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Market size

Bad$39K

$39K/yr · 92K searches

Growth

Bad-31.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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