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48

Lavender Vanilla Candles

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Soft demand (-18.8% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 19Growth 16Conversion 77Competition 49Returns 97Price range 70Avg price 82Brand share 45Review moat 25Quality gap 48

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$17.81

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Conversion

Great7.6%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Price range

Good$8.84–$29.54

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Okay55%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Brand share

Okay78%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Review moat

Bad4,075.71

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Market size

Bad$75K

$75K/yr · 56K searches

Growth

Bad-18.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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