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37

Fire Horse

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Soft demand (-88.9% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 3Growth 0Conversion 10Competition 41Returns 49Price range 83Avg price 83Brand share 72Review moat 98Quality gap 43

Review moat

Incredible30.24

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Avg price

Great$18.26

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$6.80–$59.61

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Good62%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Returns

Okay3.1%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Okay60%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Conversion

Bad0.8%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$13K

$13K/yr · 91K searches

Growth

Bad-88.9%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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