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33

4th of july costume

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Soft demand (-79.3% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 6Growth 0Conversion 49Competition 19Returns 33Price range 85Avg price 95Brand share 41Review moat 60Quality gap 53

Avg price

Incredible$23.00

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$7.47–$68.27

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Good1,112.5

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Okay3.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay80%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Returns

Okay4.4%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Competition

Bad77%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Market size

Bad$24K

$24K/yr · 27K searches

Growth

Bad-79.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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