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house of the dragon

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Weak search conversion (0.2%) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 9Growth 21Conversion 3Competition 21Returns 95Price range 83Avg price 89Brand share 24Review moat 77Quality gap 19

Returns

Great1.0%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great€20.73

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great€9.24–€48.80

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Great462.08

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Bad90%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Growth

Bad-8.6%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Bad75%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Bad€36K

€36K/yr · 726K searches

Conversion

Bad0.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

The top 5 products capture 75% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

8 flat

Sellers

127

Top-5 brand share

90%

Open market

6%

  • Spiral31%
  • Ten Speed Press18%
  • Revell17%
  • Funko14%
  • HWC Trading10%
  • McFarlane3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (2 brands, 6%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%€4K20%€7K30%€11K40%€14K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 13 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 58 weeks — -8.6% search growth over the last 90 days.
60K40KPrime Day '25Spike '25Black Friday '25Holiday '25Spike '26JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Jan, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 4.3×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Sammlungsobjekte100%

“und zum Sammeln einfach mega cool”

Top return reasons

Defekt Material/Teile75%
Sprachprobleme25%