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56

halogen light bulbs

Worth a look

Shows no brand lock-in (top 5 brands take 53% of clicks), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 46Growth 14Conversion 56Competition 78Returns 76Price range 65Avg price 67Brand share 82Review moat 69Quality gap 43

Brand share

Great53%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Competition

Great37%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Returns

Great2.0%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Good754

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Avg price

Good$13.99

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$4.66–$34.06

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Good4.7%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Okay$250K

$250K/yr · 380K searches

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Bad-21.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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