polaris tail
Worth a lookShows searches that convert (17.5% search→purchase), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.
Conversion
Incredible17.5%search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
Returns
Incredible0.8%return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
Avg price
Great$20.46avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
Growth
Great+67.8%90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
Price range
Great$8.50–$36.90cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
Quality gap
Good4.4★avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
Review moat
Good1,189.08avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
Brand share
Okay82%top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand
Competition
Okay67%top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse
Market size
Bad$81K$81K/yr · 23K searches