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tar bars for cigarettes
Skip itBrand-locked demand (top 5 brands take 98% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.
Conversion
Incredible19.8%search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
Returns
Incredible0.5%return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
Avg price
Great$21.79avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
Price range
Great$6.61–$40.42cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
Quality gap
Okay4.5★avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
Growth
Okay+0.6%90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
Review moat
Bad5,140.67avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
Market size
Bad$80K$80K/yr · 19K searches
Competition
Bad87%top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf
Brand share
Bad98%top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand