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44

cinnamon spiced vanilla candle

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A small market ($28K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 7Growth 20Conversion 50Competition 23Returns 96Price range 63Avg price 87Brand share 34Review moat 70Quality gap 73

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$19.67

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Good682.6

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Good$8.28–$26.22

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Good4.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay85%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Competition

Bad73%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Growth

Bad-9.9%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$28K

$28K/yr · 35K searches

Search terms