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wax melt molds

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Soft demand (-15.3% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 32Growth 17Conversion 42Competition 46Returns 83Price range 60Avg price 76Brand share 73Review moat 72Quality gap 33

Returns

Great1.6%

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$15.43

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Brand share

Good61%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Review moat

Good637.42

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Good$7.28–$26.69

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Okay57%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Conversion

Okay3.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Okay$152K

$152K/yr · 295K searches

Growth

Bad-15.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

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