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malin goetz candle

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Brand-locked demand (top 5 brands take 100% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 17Growth 14Conversion 62Competition 18Returns 84Price range 95Avg price 91Brand share 0Review moat 79Quality gap 77

Price range

Incredible$34.40–$66.70

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Great$55.66

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Returns

Great1.5%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Great428.67

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Great4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Good5.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Bad78%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Market size

Bad$67K

$67K/yr · 22K searches

Growth

Bad-22.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Bad100%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Competition

The top 5 products capture 78% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

4 falling

Sellers

7

Top-5 brand share

100%

Open market

0%

  • MALIN+GOETZ89%
  • Salt & Stone4%
  • Maison Louis Marie4%
  • Boy Smells3%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$7K20%$13K30%$20K40%$27K101001K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 12 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 98 weeks — -22.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
1K600Prime Day '24Spike '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Black Friday '25Holiday '25Spike '26DecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.0×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell64%

“Amazing Scent”

Quality-Overall5%

“Excellent product”

Durability3%

“Long lasting & great quality”

Brightness/Shine/Glow3%

“The candle burns evenly”

Locally Manufactured2%

“made in USA”

Size-Overall2%

“The bottle is a generous size so it should last awhile”

Value For Money1%

“so it was a great deal”

Comfort-Overall1%

“it still feels cozy”

Cleansing1%

“clean for hours”

Breathability0%

“so you know it doesnt lead you to breathe anything bad in”

What buyers complain about

Smell33%

“The candle produced no scent”

Value For Money14%

“Its a little on the expensive side”

Quality-Overall7%

“Trash”

Size-Overall7%

“however the bottle is quite large”

Color3%

“makes my walls black”

Paint Quality3%

“Candle created an awful black smoke that painted whole room”

Defective Material/Parts3%

“Product showed up broken”

Color Fading/Discoloration1%

“Glass discolored”

Advertised Vs Actual Product1%

“I think these are mostly branding hype, unfortunately”

Flammable1%

“The only downside is that it does burn very fast”

Top return reasons

Smell78%
Size-Overall5%
Advertised Vs Actual Product4%
Value For Money3%
Functionality-Overall2%
Quality-Overall2%
Product Condition1%
Defective Material/Parts1%
Ease Of Cleaning1%
Leak-Proof1%