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mainstays candles

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Soft demand (-31.3% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 10Growth 9Conversion 29Competition 71Returns 97Price range 77Avg price 83Brand share 26Review moat 49Quality gap 67

Returns

Incredible0.6%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$18.14

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$6.25–$46.24

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Good42%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Okay1,602.26

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Okay2.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay90%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Market size

Bad$39K

$39K/yr · 92K searches

Growth

Bad-31.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 42% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

15 falling

Sellers

195

Top-5 brand share

90%

Open market

8%

  • CANDLE-LITE45%
  • Maclock29%
  • Yankee Candle8%
  • Candle-Lit4%
  • Glade4%
  • Generic3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (9 brands, 8%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$1K6%$2K9%$4K12%$5K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)1 product missing review or click data not plotted

All 53 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -31.3% search growth over the last 90 days.
4K3KSpike '24Black Friday '24Spike '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.7×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell67%

“Long lasting scent”

Value For Money6%

“Amazing value”

Brightness/Shine/Glow5%

“Great sent, easy to light”

Quality-Overall4%

“They're high quality, they've got great scent throw, they're a good size, they last longer than others, this size”

Gifting Purpose3%

“great for a gift”

Durability2%

“They last a good amount of time”

Color2%

“pretty color”

Advertised Vs Actual Product1%

“Accurate description from company”

Size-Overall1%

“Good size as well”

Fire Resistance1%

“The burn was nice and smooth”

What buyers complain about

Smell64%

“Bad smell”

Value For Money6%

“Not reasonable price anymore”

Size-Overall4%

“They are small”

Strength3%

“Not strong”

Flammable3%

“Up in smoke”

Quality-Overall2%

“the contents is low quality”

Gifting Purpose1%

“I do not think this would be a good gift value”

Durability1%

“Burns long time”

Advertised Vs Actual Product1%

“The description said it last for hours, thats false”

Ease Of Cleaning0%

“Doesnt burn clean”

Top return reasons

Smell73%
Size-Overall8%
Advertised Vs Actual Product6%
Value For Money4%
Defective Material/Parts1%
Quality-Overall1%
Color1%
Product Condition1%
Flammable1%
Functionality-Overall1%