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49

coconut wax candle

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Soft demand (-12.4% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 32Growth 19Conversion 35Competition 54Returns 88Price range 89Avg price 95Brand share 26Review moat 40Quality gap 68

Avg price

Incredible$23.44

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$12.45–$46.98

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Returns

Great1.4%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Good52%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Review moat

Okay2,476.43

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Okay2.8%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Okay$147K

$147K/yr · 222K searches

Brand share

Okay90%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Growth

Bad-12.4%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 52% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

12 falling

Sellers

42

Top-5 brand share

90%

Open market

9%

  • FONTANA CANDLE CO.76%
  • arcasa6%
  • Arctic Wicks4%
  • Hemlock Park2%
  • Salt & Stone2%
  • AOOVOO2%
  • Open — no brand owns it (6 brands, 9%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%4%$6K8%$12K12%$18K16%$24K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 23 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 84 weeks — -12.4% search growth over the last 90 days.
9K7KSpike '25Prime Day '25Black Friday '25Spike '26DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Jan, Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.1×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell70%

“Decent smell”

Brightness/Shine/Glow6%

“Perfect classy candle”

Quality-Overall3%

“Great quality for a candle”

Gifting Purpose3%

“IT was a gift”

Value For Money2%

“Great value”

Durability2%

“very durable no crackling sound effect”

Strength1%

“It is also powerful without being overwhelming”

Design-Overall1%

“Beautifully crafted”

Advertised Vs Actual Product1%

“As advertised”

Size-Overall1%

“Nice size”

What buyers complain about

Smell57%

“Awful smell”

Value For Money8%

“it's not worth the money”

Size-Overall5%

“Tiny jar for cost paid”

Strength2%

“Not that strong”

Quality-Overall2%

“At the end the wick had a poor wick quality”

Durability2%

“It also did not even last 3 days”

Flammable1%

“Burns too quickly”

Advertised Vs Actual Product1%

“Quite frankly LULU is the only candle that actually does what it advertises”

Gifting Purpose1%

“I did not prefer this scent enough to give it as a gift”

Ease Of Use1%

“I couldnt use it after”

Top return reasons

Smell83%
Advertised Vs Actual Product6%
Size-Overall4%
Value For Money2%
Functionality-Overall1%
Defective Material/Parts1%
Strength1%
Product Condition1%
Quality-Overall0%
Leak-Proof0%