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50

apple cinnamon candles

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.6%), but soft demand (-15.7% this quarter) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 29Growth 17Conversion 80Competition 43Returns 97Price range 59Avg price 77Brand share 36Review moat 67Quality gap 48

Returns

Incredible0.6%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Conversion

Great8.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Avg price

Great$15.80

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Good811.9

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Good$6.20–$27.60

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Okay60%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay83%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Market size

Okay$125K

$125K/yr · 97K searches

Growth

Bad-15.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 60% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

11 falling

Sellers

51

Top-5 brand share

83%

Open market

13%

  • Glade37%
  • Yankee Candle27%
  • Village Candle7%
  • Dianne's Custom Candles7%
  • AOOVOO5%
  • CJVIUS4%
  • Open — no brand owns it (5 brands, 13%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$13K20%$25K30%$38K40%$50K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 20 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 103 weeks — -15.7% search growth over the last 90 days.
15K10KSpike '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Feb, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 12.2×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell64%

“Great fragrance”

Value For Money5%

“Good price”

Quality-Overall5%

“The glass is of great quality”

Brightness/Shine/Glow5%

“ease of lighting”

Durability3%

“Theyre much thicker glass and very durable”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“As advertised”

Gifting Purpose2%

“Good Christmas gift for this year”

Size-Overall2%

“they are a nice size -”

Design-Overall1%

“It looks and feels really cool, and kind of matches my boho aesthetic, so I'm keeping it”

Strength1%

“The glass jars are strong”

What buyers complain about

Smell54%

“It smelled more like chemicals than anything else”

Size-Overall6%

“The jars are small”

Quality-Overall5%

“Poor wick”

Value For Money5%

“They are expensive”

Strength3%

“Only thing is theyre not super strong in a big room”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“The photo has been way blown up”

Durability1%

“they dont last extremely long”

Flammable1%

“This stuff burns badly”

Burnt/Roasted/Overbaked1%

“Also burns for a long time”

Functionality-Overall1%

“this one did not give the same effect”

Top return reasons

Smell72%
Value For Money7%
Advertised Vs Actual Product6%
Size-Overall4%
Functionality-Overall4%
Defective Material/Parts2%
Product Condition2%
Gifting Purpose1%
Flammable1%
Quality-Overall1%