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thursday boots women

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Soft demand (-69.2% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 8Growth 0Conversion 1Competition 98Returns 0Price range 36Avg price 84Brand share 95Review moat 48Quality gap 72

Competition

Incredible9%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Brand share

Incredible40%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Avg price

Great$75.06

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Okay1,715.4

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Okay$17.79–$247.14

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Market size

Bad$33K

$33K/yr · 368K searches

Conversion

Bad0.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Bad-69.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Returns

Bad20.8%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (9% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

73 rising

Sellers

202

Top-5 brand share

40%

Open market

55%

  • Amazon Essentials9%
  • Vepose9%
  • Dr. Martens8%
  • Sorel7%
  • Cestfini6%
  • Thursday Boot Company6%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%1%$3322%$6633%$9954%$1K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 313 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -69.2% search growth over the last 90 days.
40K30KPrime Day '24Spike '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Black Friday '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 11.3×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Comfort-Overall26%

“Comfortable and Nice Looking”

Size-Overall16%

“Excellent fit”

Warmth8%

“Comfortable and warm”

Quality-Overall7%

“Amazing quality”

Value For Money6%

“Good for the price”

Shape/Style3%

“Stylish boots”

Water Resistance3%

“completely waterproof”

Ease Of Use2%

“easy to use”

Weather Proof2%

“Very nice great choice for this weather”

Durability2%

“theyve held up well with regular wear”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall19%

“Run Big”

Durability8%

“will not last”

Comfort-Overall5%

“Uncomfortably stiff”

Quality-Overall5%

“They're not that well made”

Weight Heavy3%

“Theyre a little heavier than I thought”

Heel Support3%

“The heel was a little higher than I expected”

Pain Relief-Overall3%

“Too painful to wear”

Feet Fit3%

“They are too tight in the toe”

Water Resistance3%

“Not waterproof”

Arch Support1%

“although there is little arch support”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall36%
Feet Fit22%
Length10%
Width10%
Comfort-Overall4%
Material Quality2%
Weight Heavy2%
Advertised Vs Actual Product2%
Ankle Support2%
Shape/Style2%