Skip to content
43

patagonia beanie

Skip it

Soft demand (-50.6% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 52Growth 0Conversion 14Competition 96Returns 46Price range 94Avg price 95Brand share 7Review moat 25Quality gap 32

Competition

Incredible18%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Incredible$32.69

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$14.29–$53.88

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Market size

Good$317K

$317K/yr · 837K searches

Returns

Okay3.5%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Bad4,552.62

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Bad1.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Bad97%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Growth

Bad-50.6%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (18% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

11 rising

Sellers

87

Top-5 brand share

97%

Open market

2%

  • The North Face94%
  • Carhartt1%
  • MISSION1%
  • Sunday Afternoons1%
  • Columbia1%
  • Sprints1%
  • Open — no brand owns it (5 brands, 2%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%2%$6K4%$13K6%$19K8%$25K1101001K10K100K1.0M Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 93 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -50.6% search growth over the last 90 days.
100K60KSpike '24Black Friday '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Holiday '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Feb, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 10.2×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Size-Overall19%

“Awesome fit”

Quality-Overall16%

“Beautifully made”

Warmth13%

“Keeps you warm”

Comfort-Overall6%

“The hat is very comfortable”

Weight Light5%

“Lightweight Comfort”

Value For Money5%

“Fair price”

Color3%

“I love the color”

Material Quality3%

“High quality materials”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“As advertised”

Shape/Style2%

“Stylish”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall27%

“Runs a bit big”

Quality-Overall7%

“Bad quality”

Color4%

“Color not as pictured”

Value For Money4%

“Could have been cheaper”

Strap/String Quality3%

“The draw string pulls up off center”

Thickness3%

“The top is thin”

Shape/Style2%

“didnt hold its shape anymore”

Stitch/Finish/Polish2%

“now the stitching is uneven”

Length2%

“its way too long”

Comfort-Overall2%

“Very uncomfortable”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall68%
Color8%
Advertised Vs Actual Product4%
Shape/Style4%
Material Quality3%
Length3%
Value For Money2%
Quality-Overall1%
Width1%
Neck Fit1%